Purkis Sam J, Ward Steven N, Howes Bolton J, Longenecker Jake M, Chakraborty Morgan I, Kalman Akos, Clement Amy C, Sharifi Arash, Benzoni Francesca, Clarke Christopher, Rodrigue Mattie
Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.
Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA.
Sci Adv. 2025 Feb 21;11(8):eadq3173. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adq3173.
Intense rain can trigger flashfloods in Arabia. Torrential rains in 2024 sowed widespread chaos in the region. Sediment-loaded plumes discharged by flashfloods deposit onto the seabed. Burrowing animals disrupt these flood layers, erasing the paleorainfall record. Fortuitously, we discovered an anoxic deep-sea brine pool sited close enough to shore to chronicle floods, yet be otherwise undisturbed by animals. Cores retrieved from the pool delivered a 1600-year rainfall record. We merge these core-layer histories with modern rainfall statistics, satellite observations, and simulations to deliver a high-resolution quantitative Late Holocene hydroclimate record for Arabia. We find that the modern era is 2.5 times drier than the last 1.6 thousand years. The Little Ice Age stands out as particularly wet. That period experienced a fivefold increase in rainfall intensity compared to today. Though hyperarid now, the flood layers demonstrate that climate shifts can generate weather conditions unwitnessed in the modern era. Such long-range insight is crucial for framing uncertainties surrounding future hydroclimate forecasts.
暴雨会引发阿拉伯半岛的山洪暴发。2024年的暴雨在该地区造成了广泛的混乱。山洪暴发排放的携带沉积物的水流沉积在海床上。穴居动物会破坏这些洪水层,抹去古降雨记录。幸运的是,我们发现了一个缺氧的深海盐水池,其位置离海岸足够近,可以记录洪水情况,但又不会受到动物的干扰。从该水池取回的岩芯提供了一份1600年的降雨记录。我们将这些岩芯层历史与现代降雨统计数据、卫星观测数据和模拟结果相结合,得出了一份高分辨率的阿拉伯半岛全新世晚期水文气候定量记录。我们发现,现代时期的干旱程度是过去1600年的2.5倍。小冰期尤为湿润。与今天相比,那个时期的降雨强度增加了五倍。尽管现在极度干旱,但洪水层表明,气候变化会产生现代未曾见过的天气状况。这种长期的洞察力对于确定未来水文气候预测的不确定性至关重要。