Choi Jeonghyeon, Kim Sangdan
Forecast and Contral Division, Nakdong River Flood Control Office, Ministry of Environment, 1233-88, Nakdongnam-ro, Saha-gu, Busan, 49300, Republic of Korea.
Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major in Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, 45 Yongso-ro, Nam-gu, Busan, 48513, Republic of Korea.
Heliyon. 2025 Feb 6;11(4):e42512. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42512. eCollection 2025 Feb 28.
Streamflow prediction in ungauged basins (PUB) remains a significant challenge in water resource planning and management. Although recent studies have proposed various approaches to reduce prediction errors using data-driven models (DDMs), further efforts are needed to improve applicability and accuracy of predictions in ungauged basins. This study proposes a framework that utilizes DDM as a post-processor to enhance the PUB performance of process-based models (PBMs) or DDMs and investigates its applicability. For this purpose, the Parsimonious EcoHydrologic Model (PEHM) was selected as a PBM, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Random Forest (RF) were chosen as DDMs. We tested the proposed approach on 28 basins in Korea, which were assumed to be ungauged. First, PEHM and LSTM were used separately to predict streamflow in ungauged basins. Subsequently, RF was employed as the main DDM for post-processing, and the post-processing effects of LSTM were also examined. The results in this study demonstrate the potential value of various post-processing approaches in improving streamflow prediction in ungauged basins.
无资料流域的径流预测在水资源规划与管理中仍然是一项重大挑战。尽管近期研究提出了各种利用数据驱动模型(DDMs)来减少预测误差的方法,但仍需进一步努力提高无资料流域预测的适用性和准确性。本研究提出了一个框架,该框架利用数据驱动模型作为后处理器来提高基于过程的模型(PBMs)或数据驱动模型的无资料流域预测性能,并研究其适用性。为此,选择了简约生态水文模型(PEHM)作为基于过程的模型,选择了长短期记忆网络(LSTM)和随机森林(RF)作为数据驱动模型。我们在韩国的28个被假定为无资料的流域上测试了所提出的方法。首先,分别使用简约生态水文模型和长短期记忆网络来预测无资料流域的径流。随后,将随机森林作为主要的数据驱动模型用于后处理,同时也考察了长短期记忆网络的后处理效果。本研究结果证明了各种后处理方法在改善无资料流域径流预测方面的潜在价值。