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老年滤泡性淋巴瘤患者的年龄校正国际预后指数2(A-FLIPI2)

The age-adjusted international prognostic index 2 (A-FLIPI2) for elderly patients with follicular lymphoma.

作者信息

Wang Jiesong, Jia Junlei, Yu Jingwei, Liu Jing, Gao Meng, Liu Hengqi, Li Lanfang, Qiu Lihua, Zhou Shiyong, Meng Bin, Gong Wenchen, Qian Zhengzi, Wang Xianhuo, Zhang Huilai

机构信息

National Key Laboratory of Druggability Evaluation and Systematic Translational Medicine, and Department of Lymphoma, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, the Sino-US Center for Lymphoma and Leukemia Research, Tianjin 300060, China.

Department of Lymphoma & Head and Neck Oncology, College of Clinical Medicine for Oncology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350000, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2025 Feb 7;11(4):e42497. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42497. eCollection 2025 Feb 28.

Abstract

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is a common B-cell lymphoma and typically affects the elderly population. It is urgently required to enhance our comprehension of disease-specific outcomes in elderly FL patients and identify a reliable predictive indicator to assess patient risk and guide treatment options for them. Therefore, we retrospectively analysed clinical data of 128 elderly patients (aged 60 years or older) with FL treated at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital from 2002 to 2020. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify high risk prognostic factors, and we evaluated the predictive capacity of several prognostic scoring models by survival analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Our analysis revealed that the age ≥70 was a significant independent predictor for both OS and PFS. FLIPI2 model can classify elderly FL patients into two risk groups with different prognoses, but the FLIPI and PRIMA-PI scoring systems may not be as applicable to this specific patient population. Based on the above results, we modified the FLIPI2 scoring system to set age ≥70 years as a risk factor and developed a novel prognostic index called the Age-adjusted FLIPI2 (A-FLIPI2), which effectively classified older FL patients into three distinct groups with significantly different outcomes. Among the four scoring systems evaluated, A-FLIPI2 showed the highest AUC for predicting risk of death (0.793) and disease progression (0.678). And the performance of A-FLIPI2 is validated in an external validation cohort. Thus, A-FLIPI2 is a better prognostic model for elderly FL patients. In conclusion, the newly developed prognostic index A-FLIPI2 in this study offers improved risk stratification for elderly FL patients.

摘要

滤泡性淋巴瘤(FL)是一种常见的B细胞淋巴瘤,通常影响老年人群。迫切需要加强我们对老年FL患者疾病特异性结局的理解,并确定一个可靠的预测指标,以评估患者风险并指导他们的治疗选择。因此,我们回顾性分析了2002年至2020年在天津医科大学肿瘤医院接受治疗的128例老年FL患者(年龄60岁及以上)的临床数据。进行单因素和多因素分析以确定高危预后因素,并通过生存分析和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估几种预后评分模型的预测能力。我们的分析表明,年龄≥70岁是总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS)的重要独立预测因素。FLIPI2模型可以将老年FL患者分为两个预后不同的风险组,但FLIPI和PRIMA-PI评分系统可能不太适用于这一特定患者群体。基于上述结果,我们修改了FLIPI2评分系统,将年龄≥70岁作为一个风险因素,并开发了一种新的预后指数,称为年龄调整后的FLIPI2(A-FLIPI2),它有效地将老年FL患者分为三个结局明显不同的组。在评估的四个评分系统中,A-FLIPI2在预测死亡风险(0.793)和疾病进展风险(0.678)方面显示出最高的曲线下面积(AUC)。并且A-FLIPI2的性能在一个外部验证队列中得到了验证。因此,A-FLIPI2是老年FL患者更好的预后模型。总之,本研究新开发的预后指数A-FLIPI2为老年FL患者提供了改进的风险分层。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/902b/11867286/5195f4b710a9/gr1.jpg

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