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序贯器官衰竭评估评分对越南急性呼吸窘迫综合征患者死亡率的预测效度

Predictive validity of the sequential organ failure assessment score for mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome in Vietnam.

作者信息

Dao Co Xuan, Dang Tuan Quoc, Luong Chinh Quoc, Manabe Toshie, Nguyen My Ha, Pham Dung Thi, Pham Quynh Thi, Vu Tai Thien, Truong Hau Thi, Nguyen Hai Hoang, Nguyen Cuong Ba, Khuong Dai Quoc, Dang Hien Duy, Nguyen Tuan Anh, Pham Thach The, Bui Giang Thi Huong, Van Bui Cuong, Nguyen Quan Huu, Tran Thong Huu, Nguyen Tan Cong, Vo Khoi Hong, Vu Lan Tuong, Phan Nga Thu, Nguyen Phuong Thi Ha, Nguyen Cuong Duy, Nguyen Anh Dat, Van Nguyen Chi, Nguyen Binh Gia, Do Son Ngoc

机构信息

Center for Critical Care Medicine, Bach Mai Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam.

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Hanoi Medical University, No. 01, Ton That Tung Street, Dong Da District, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 3;15(1):7406. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92199-y.

Abstract

Evaluating the prognosis of ARDS patients using grading systems can enhance treatment decisions. This retrospective observational study evaluated the predictive accuracy of the SOFA score, APACHE II score, SpO/FiO ratio, and PaO/FiO ratio for mortality in ARDS patients in Vietnam. The study included 335 adult ARDS patients admitted to a central hospital from August 2015 to August 2023. Among them, 66.9% were male, the median age was 55 years, and 61.5% died in the hospital. The SOFA (AUROC: 0.651) and APACHE II scores (AUROC: 0.693) showed poor discriminatory ability for hospital mortality. The SpO/FiO (AUROC: 0.595) and PaO/FiO ratios (AUROC: 0.595) also displayed poor discriminatory ability. In multivariable analyses, after adjusting for the same set of confounding variables, the APACHE II score (adjusted OR: 1.152), SpO/FiO ratio (adjusted OR: 0.985), and PaO/FiO ratio (adjusted OR: 0.989) were independently associated with hospital mortality. Although the SOFA score (adjusted OR: 1.132) indicated a potential association with hospital mortality, it did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.081). However, a SOFA score of ≥ 10 emerged as an independent predictor (adjusted OR: 3.398) of hospital mortality. These findings emphasize the need for further studies to develop more accurate scoring systems for predicting outcomes in ARDS patients.

摘要

使用分级系统评估急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者的预后可以改善治疗决策。这项回顾性观察性研究评估了序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)评分、氧合指数(SpO₂/FiO₂)和动脉血氧分压与吸入氧浓度之比(PaO₂/FiO₂)对越南ARDS患者死亡率的预测准确性。该研究纳入了2015年8月至2023年8月期间入住一家中心医院的335例成年ARDS患者。其中,66.9%为男性,中位年龄为55岁,61.5%的患者在医院死亡。SOFA评分(曲线下面积[AUC]:0.651)和APACHE II评分(AUC:0.693)对医院死亡率的鉴别能力较差。SpO₂/FiO₂(AUC:0.595)和PaO₂/FiO₂比值(AUC:0.595)的鉴别能力也较差。在多变量分析中,在调整了同一组混杂变量后,APACHE II评分(调整后的比值比[OR]:1.152)、SpO₂/FiO₂比值(调整后的OR:0.985)和PaO₂/FiO₂比值(调整后的OR:0.989)与医院死亡率独立相关。尽管SOFA评分(调整后的OR:1.132)表明与医院死亡率可能存在关联,但未达到统计学显著性(p = 0.081)。然而,SOFA评分≥10成为医院死亡率的独立预测因素(调整后的OR:3.398)。这些发现强调需要进一步开展研究,以开发更准确的评分系统来预测ARDS患者的预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1bcc/11876689/073e6f9939dd/41598_2025_92199_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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