Zhong Xiaoli, Wang Xuejie, Feng Xiaobei, Yu Haijin, Chen Zijin, Chen Xiaonong
Department of Nephrology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Department of Nephrology, Ruijin Hospital LuWan Branch, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Ren Fail. 2025 Dec;47(1):2442049. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2024.2442049. Epub 2025 Mar 3.
To explore the associations between the blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio (BCR), acute kidney injury (AKI), and in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients.
COVID-19 patients from Ruijin Hospital LuWan Branch, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were enrolled in this study. Clinical data and laboratory parameters were collected. AKI was defined using two serum creatinine tests according to KDIGO guidelines. Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed.
Five hundred and sixty-seven COVID-19 patients were enrolled, 44.1% of whom were male. The mean age was 75 years. Among all patients, 17 patients developed AKI, and 30 patients died during hospitalization. Compared to non-AKI patients, the BCR in AKI patients was significantly greater. BCR was significantly associated with AKI (unadjusted HR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.05, < 0.001; adjusted HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10, = 0.001). BCR was also a risk factor of in-hospital mortality (unadjusted HR 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02-1.05, < 0.001; adjusted HR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.08, = 0.019). The BCR threshold was 38.9, with 70.6% sensitivity and 87.1% specificity for predicting AKI, while a threshold of 33.0 predicted mortality. Subgroup analysis revealed that BCR could predict AKI and mortality in different subgroups according to sex, age, diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate.
The BCR, a simple index, is associated with AKI onset and mortality in COVID-19 patients. The BCR possesses certain specificity for AKI screening, which indicates an effective clinical indicator for screening patients at high risk of AKI.
探讨2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的血尿素氮与肌酐比值(BCR)、急性肾损伤(AKI)及住院死亡率之间的关联。
本研究纳入了上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院卢湾分院的COVID-19患者。收集临床资料和实验室参数。根据KDIGO指南,通过两次血清肌酐检测定义AKI。进行Cox回归分析和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析。
共纳入567例COVID-19患者,其中男性占44.1%。平均年龄为75岁。所有患者中,17例发生AKI,30例在住院期间死亡。与非AKI患者相比,AKI患者的BCR显著更高。BCR与AKI显著相关(未调整的风险比[HR] 1.04,95%置信区间[CI]:1.02 - 1.05,P < 0.001;调整后的HR 1.06,95% CI 1.02 - 1.10,P = 0.001)。BCR也是住院死亡率的危险因素(未调整的HR 1.03,95% CI:1.02 - 1.05,P < 0.001;调整后的HR 1.04,95% CI:1.01 - 1.08,P = 0.019)。BCR预测AKI的阈值为38.9,敏感性为70.6%,特异性为87.1%,而预测死亡率的阈值为33.0。亚组分析显示,根据性别、年龄、糖尿病和估计肾小球滤过率,BCR可在不同亚组中预测AKI和死亡率。
BCR作为一个简单指标,与COVID-19患者的AKI发生及死亡率相关。BCR对AKI筛查具有一定特异性,是筛查AKI高危患者的有效临床指标。