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探索伊朗人对《巴黎协定》的看法:来自推特的见解。

Exploring Iranian sentiments on the Paris Agreement: Insights from Twitter.

作者信息

Atefinia Faeze, Mirnezami Seyed Reza

机构信息

The Research Institute for Science, Technology, and Industrial Policy, Sharif University of Technology, Azadi St, Tehran, 11365-8639, Iran.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2025 Feb 14;11(4):e42716. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42716. eCollection 2025 Feb 28.

Abstract

Iran remains one of the few nations not fully committed to the Paris Agreement and public opinion regarding implementation of policies serves a significant role. This study examines the general sentiment of Iranian Twitter users towards the Paris Agreement. A total of 25,386 tweets were collected and analyzed, revealing that discussions around the Paris Agreement predominantly centred on terms such as 'electricity', 'shameful', 'government', and 'America'. The majority of these tweets coincided with the power outages in January, June, and July 2021, as well as the period following Trump's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement in June 2017. To gain deeper insights into the level of support for the Paris Agreement in Iran, a thematic analysis was conducted on a random sample of 500 tweets, selected based on the theoretical saturation of themes and sub-themes. The analysis revealed that 8 % of users expressed a positive orientation, 60 % a negative orientation, and 32 % a neutral orientation towards the Paris Agreement. The thematic analysis suggests that the negative sentiment is primarily due to frequent power outages, perceived inefficiency and lack of trust in government decisions, lack of transparency, and the perceived colonial nature of the agreement for developing countries. The findings underscore the importance of garnering public support in developing countries for international environmental agreements.

摘要

伊朗仍是少数未完全致力于《巴黎协定》的国家之一,公众舆论对政策实施起着重要作用。本研究考察了伊朗推特用户对《巴黎协定》的总体态度。共收集并分析了25386条推文,结果显示围绕《巴黎协定》的讨论主要集中在“电力”“可耻”“政府”和“美国”等词汇上。这些推文中的大多数与2021年1月、6月和7月的停电事件,以及2017年6月特朗普退出《巴黎协定》后的时期相吻合。为了更深入了解伊朗对《巴黎协定》的支持程度,对基于主题和子主题的理论饱和度选取的500条推文随机样本进行了主题分析。分析显示,8%的用户对《巴黎协定》表达了积极态度,60%表达了消极态度,32%表达了中立态度。主题分析表明,负面情绪主要是由于频繁停电、认为政府决策效率低下且缺乏信任、缺乏透明度,以及认为该协定对发展中国家具有殖民性质。研究结果强调了在发展中国家获得公众对国际环境协定支持的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e3a6/11876869/be3e3024a979/gr1.jpg

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