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关注还是冷漠?探究 2008 年至 2019 年期间公众对气候变化的网络舆论:中国与其他 G20 国家的比较研究。

Concerned or Apathetic? Exploring online public opinions on climate change from 2008 to 2019: A Comparative study between China and other G20 countries.

机构信息

Department of Public and International Affairs, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 999077, China; School of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.

School of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2023 Apr 15;332:117376. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117376. Epub 2023 Jan 28.

Abstract

G20 countries, account for the majority of global carbon emissions, need to take the lead in mitigating climate change. However, there are differences in economic, political and sociocultural backgrounds amongst G20 countries, especially between China and other G20 countries. Since the implementation of climate policies largely require domestic public support, it is vital to explore similarities and differences of public opinions on climate issues between China and other G20 countries. However, little research has investigated the micro-level climate concerns from the perspective of cross-country differences. Therefore, based on big data and text mining analysis, this study crawled user-generated data on Sina Weibo (N = 271,487) and Twitter (N = 4,874,546) from 2008 to 2019 to comprehensively catalog and compare climate opinions. Results show that climate change has become a salient issue in China and other G20 countries, with climate-related surges in public opinions always occurring after major natural, social and political events. Moreover, in China, there has been a significant shift in public attention from climate impacts to climate mitigation strategies, but in other G20 countries, people are more radical by emphasizing the climate movement and calling for authoritative actions. This study provides "snapshots" of climate communication and offers a quantification-based reference for promoting climate actions and collaborative governance.

摘要

G20 国家占全球碳排放的大部分,需要在应对气候变化方面发挥带头作用。然而,G20 国家之间在经济、政治和社会文化背景方面存在差异,尤其是中国与其他 G20 国家之间。由于气候政策的实施在很大程度上需要国内公众的支持,因此,探索中国与其他 G20 国家在气候问题上的公众意见的异同至关重要。然而,很少有研究从跨国差异的角度调查微观层面的气候问题。因此,本研究基于大数据和文本挖掘分析,从 2008 年到 2019 年,从新浪微博(N=271487)和推特(N=4874546)上抓取用户生成的数据,全面分类和比较气候意见。结果表明,气候变化在中国和其他 G20 国家已经成为一个突出问题,重大自然、社会和政治事件后,公众对气候问题的意见总是会出现激增。此外,在中国,公众对气候变化影响的关注已经从气候变化影响转向气候缓解战略,而在其他 G20 国家,人们更加激进,强调气候运动,呼吁采取权威行动。本研究提供了气候沟通的“快照”,为促进气候行动和协同治理提供了量化参考。

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