Poppe Louise, De Paepe Annick L, Deforche Benedicte, Van Dyck Delfien, Loeys Tom, Van Cauwenberg Jelle
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Department of Experimental Clinical and Health Psychology, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act. 2025 Mar 5;22(1):28. doi: 10.1186/s12966-025-01723-w.
The experience sampling method (ESM), also known as ecological momentary assessment, is gaining popularity in physical activity research. This method involves assessing participants' behaviors and experiences repeatedly over time. One key advantage of ESM is its ability to temporally separate the dependent and independent variable of interest, reducing the risk of reverse causality. However, temporal separation alone is insufficient for establishing causality. This methodology paper illustrates the importance of the identification phase in drawing causal conclusions from ESM data. In the identification phase the causal effect of interest (or estimand) is specified and the assumptions under which a statistical association can be considered as causal are visualized using causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs).
We demonstrate how to define a causal estimand and construct a DAG for a specific ESM research question. The example focuses on the causal effect of physical activity performed in real-life on subsequent executive functioning among older adults. The DAG development process combines literature review and expert consultations to identify time-varying and time-invariant confounders.
The developed DAG shows multiple open backdoor paths causing confounding bias, even with temporal separation of the exposure (physical activity) and outcome (executive functioning). Two approaches to address this confounding bias are illustrated: (1) physical control using the within-person encouragement design, where participants receive randomized prompts to perform physical activity in their natural environment, and (2) analytic control, involving assessing all confounding variables and adjusting for these variables in the analysis phase.
Implementing the identification phase enables ESM researchers to make more informed decisions, thereby enhancing the validity of causal inferences in studies aimed at answering causal questions.
经验取样法(ESM),也称为生态瞬时评估,在体育活动研究中越来越受欢迎。这种方法涉及随着时间的推移反复评估参与者的行为和经历。ESM的一个关键优势是它能够在时间上分离感兴趣的自变量和因变量,降低反向因果关系的风险。然而,仅靠时间分离不足以确立因果关系。这篇方法学论文阐述了识别阶段在从ESM数据得出因果结论中的重要性。在识别阶段,确定感兴趣的因果效应(或估计量),并使用因果有向无环图(DAG)将可将统计关联视为因果关系的假设可视化。
我们展示了如何为一个特定的ESM研究问题定义因果估计量并构建DAG。该示例聚焦于老年人在现实生活中进行的体育活动对随后执行功能的因果效应。DAG的开发过程结合了文献综述和专家咨询,以识别随时间变化和不随时间变化的混杂因素。
所开发的DAG显示,即使暴露(体育活动)和结果(执行功能)在时间上分离,仍有多个开放的后门路径导致混杂偏倚。文中阐述了两种解决这种混杂偏倚的方法:(1)使用个体内鼓励设计进行物理控制,即参与者在自然环境中收到随机提示以进行体育活动;(2)分析控制,包括评估所有混杂变量并在分析阶段对这些变量进行调整。
实施识别阶段使ESM研究人员能够做出更明智的决策,从而提高旨在回答因果问题的研究中因果推断的有效性。