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CT成像特征对急性大血管闭塞性缺血性卒中机械取栓术后出血转化风险的预测价值

Predictive value of CT imaging features on the risk of hemorrhagic transformation after mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke with large vessel obstruction.

作者信息

Zhou Linyu, Yu Hong, Bai Jianbing, Wang Yang, Zhong Yingqiang, Jiang Tao, Dai Yongqing

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital 3201, Xi'an Jiaotong University, No. 783, Tianhan Avenue, Hanzhong, 723000, Shaanxi, China.

出版信息

Biomed Eng Online. 2025 Mar 6;24(1):29. doi: 10.1186/s12938-025-01359-8.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive value of computer tomography (CT) imaging features for the risk of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) after mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke with large vessel obstruction (AIS-LVO).

METHODS

A total of 135 patients with AIS-LVO diagnosed and treated in our hospital from August 2021 to May 2023 were selected as the research subjects. Their clinical data were retrospectively analyzed. Mechanical thrombectomy was performed in all patients. The patients were divided into the HT group (n = 27) and the non-HT group (n = 108) according to whether HT occurred within 24 h after thrombectomy. CT examination was performed after mechanical thrombectomy in the two groups, and the changes in CT imaging indexes in the two groups were observed. Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors and a prediction model was constructed based on the influencing factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was established to analyze the predictive value. Additionally, ROC curve was used to analyze the diagnostic value of serum CT imaging features.

RESULTS

Compared with the non-HT group, the proportion of atrial fibrillation history in the HT group was significantly increased, and the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score and galectin-3 (Gal-3) level were significantly increased before thrombectomy (P < 0.01). Compared with the non-HT group, the proportion of exudation of contrast medium and Hyperdense Middle Cerebral Artery Sign (HMCAS) in the HT group was significantly increased, time to peak (TTP) was significantly prolonged, and cerebral blood flow (CBF) was significantly decreased (P < 0.001). The history of atrial fibrillation, NIHSS score before thrombectomy, Gal-3, contrast agent exudation, HMCAS, TTP and CBF were the influencing factors of postoperative HT after mechanical thrombectomy in AIS-LVO (P < 0.05). Based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis, a prediction model was established as follows: Logit (P) = -3.520 + 1.529 × history of atrial fibrillation + 0.968 × NIHSS score before thrombectomy + 0.806 × Gal-3 + 1.134 × contrast agent exudation + 2.146 × HMCAS + 0.684 × TTP-0.725 × CBF. The area under the curve (AUC) of the logistic prediction model for predicting HT after AIS-LVOLVO mechanical thrombectomy was 0.873 (95% CI 0.817-0.929) with a sensitivity of 78.75% and a specificity of 83.33%, indicating that the prediction model had good prediction efficiency. The AUC of TTP and CBF alone in predicting HT after mechanical thrombectomy in AIS-LVO patients was 0.728 and 0.736, respectively. The AUC of combined detection was 0.783, and the combined detection had a high diagnostic value for HT after mechanical thrombectomy in AIS-LVO patients.

CONCLUSION

The combined detection of TTP and CBF of CT imaging features had certain diagnostic value for HT in AIS-LVO patients after mechanical thrombectomy. The logistic prediction model based on these influencing factors had a high diagnostic value for HT after mechanical thrombectomy.

摘要

目的

探讨计算机断层扫描(CT)成像特征对急性缺血性卒中伴大血管闭塞(AIS-LVO)机械取栓术后出血转化(HT)风险的预测价值。

方法

选取2021年8月至2023年5月在我院诊断并治疗的135例AIS-LVO患者作为研究对象,回顾性分析其临床资料。所有患者均行机械取栓治疗。根据取栓术后24小时内是否发生HT将患者分为HT组(n = 27)和非HT组(n = 108)。两组患者在机械取栓后均行CT检查,观察两组CT成像指标的变化。采用Logistic回归分析影响因素,并基于影响因素构建预测模型。建立受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析预测价值。此外,采用ROC曲线分析血清CT成像特征的诊断价值。

结果

与非HT组相比,HT组房颤病史比例显著增加,取栓术前美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分及半乳糖凝集素-3(Gal-3)水平显著升高(P < 0.01)。与非HT组相比,HT组造影剂渗出及大脑中动脉高密度征(HMCAS)比例显著增加,达峰时间(TTP)显著延长,脑血流量(CBF)显著降低(P < 0.001)。房颤病史、取栓术前NIHSS评分、Gal-3、造影剂渗出、HMCAS、TTP及CBF是AIS-LVO机械取栓术后HT的影响因素(P < 0.05)。基于多因素Logistic回归分析结果,建立预测模型如下:Logit(P)= -3.520 + 1.529×房颤病史 + 0.968×取栓术前NIHSS评分 + 0.806×Gal-3 + 1.134×造影剂渗出 + 2.146×HMCAS + 0.684×TTP - 0.725×CBF。AIS-LVO机械取栓术后预测HT的Logistic预测模型曲线下面积(AUC)为0.873(95%CI 0.817 - 0.929),灵敏度为78.75%,特异度为83.33%,表明该预测模型具有良好的预测效能。AIS-LVO患者机械取栓术后单独TTP及CBF预测HT的AUC分别为0.728和0.736。联合检测的AUC为0.783,联合检测对AIS-LVO患者机械取栓术后HT具有较高的诊断价值。

结论

CT成像特征中TTP与CBF联合检测对AIS-LVO患者机械取栓术后HT具有一定诊断价值。基于这些影响因素的Logistic预测模型对机械取栓术后HT具有较高诊断价值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0dce/11887210/ad6fb5e4ddaf/12938_2025_1359_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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