Imaoka Kouki, Shimomura Manabu, Okuda Hiroshi, Yano Takuya, Shimizu Wataru, Yoshimitsu Masanori, Ikeda Satoshi, Nakahara Masahiro, Kohyama Mohei, Kobayashi Hironori, Shimizu Yosuke, Kochi Masatoshi, Akabane Shintaro, Sumitani Daisuke, Mukai Shoichiro, Takakura Yuji, Ishizaki Yasuyo, Kodama Shinya, Fujimori Masahiko, Ishikawa Sho, Adachi Tomohiro, Hattori Minoru, Ohdan Hideki
Department of Gastroenterological and Transplant Surgery, Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan.
Department of Surgery, Hiroshima City North Medical Center Asa Citizens Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan.
World J Surg. 2025 May;49(5):1172-1182. doi: 10.1002/wjs.12533. Epub 2025 Mar 15.
To identify the predictors of local recurrence and distant metastasis after radical surgery for stage I-III colorectal cancer.
Patient and tumor characteristics, clinicopathological stages, perioperative factors, and postoperative outcomes, including local and distant recurrence, of patients who underwent primary colorectal resection were evaluated in this multicenter retrospective analysis. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify the risk factors for local and distant recurrences, with a focus on the intraoperative blood loss (IBL) ratio [IBL (mL)/total blood volume (mL)] and postoperative complications.
The risk factors for local and distant recurrence pattern differed. The predictors for local recurrence included perioperative factors, such as the IBL ratio and anastomotic leakage, as well as tumor factors, including pT4, rectal cancer, and poorly differentiated histology, in the multivariate analysis. On the other hand, the predictors for distant recurrence included perioperative factors, such as Clavien-Dindo score ≥ 3, and absence of adjuvant chemotherapy as well as tumor factors including pT stage, pN stage, and rectal cancer. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for local recurrence in the IBL ratio was 0.745, which was higher than the AUCs for other recurrence patterns in the IBL ratio. Patients with a higher IBL ratio had a higher rate of early local recurrence within 2 years postoperatively (Wilcoxon test and p = 0.028).
Reducing IBL and formulating perioperative strategies to prevent anastomotic leakage may help decrease the local recurrence rate and improve prognosis.
确定I - III期结直肠癌根治性手术后局部复发和远处转移的预测因素。
在这项多中心回顾性分析中,评估了接受原发性结直肠切除术患者的患者和肿瘤特征、临床病理分期、围手术期因素以及术后结局,包括局部和远处复发情况。进行单因素和多因素回归分析以确定局部和远处复发的危险因素,重点关注术中失血量(IBL)比率[IBL(毫升)/总血容量(毫升)]和术后并发症。
局部和远处复发模式的危险因素不同。在多因素分析中,局部复发的预测因素包括围手术期因素,如IBL比率和吻合口漏,以及肿瘤因素,包括pT4、直肠癌和低分化组织学。另一方面,远处复发的预测因素包括围手术期因素,如Clavien - Dindo评分≥3、未进行辅助化疗以及肿瘤因素,包括pT分期、pN分期和直肠癌。IBL比率中局部复发的受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)下面积为0.745,高于IBL比率中其他复发模式的AUC。IBL比率较高的患者术后2年内早期局部复发率较高(Wilcoxon检验,p = 0.028)。
减少术中失血量并制定围手术期策略以预防吻合口漏可能有助于降低局部复发率并改善预后。