A computed tomography angiography-based radiomics model for prognostic prediction of endovascular abdominal aortic repair.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop a radiomics machine learning (ML) model that uses preoperative computed tomography angiography (CTA) data to predict the prognosis of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 164 AAA patients underwent EVAR and were categorized into shrinkage (good prognosis) or stable (poor prognosis) groups based on post-EVAR sac regression. From preoperative AAA and perivascular adipose tissue (PVAT) image, radiomics features (RFs) were extracted for model creation. Patients were split into 80 % training and 20 % test sets. A support vector machine model was constructed for prediction. Accuracy is evaluated via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Demographics and comorbidities showed no significant differences between shrinkage and stable groups. The model containing 5 AAA RFs (which are original_firstorder_InterquartileRange, log-sigma-3-0-mm-3D_glrlm_GrayLevelNonUniformityNormalized, log-sigma-3-0-mm-3D_glrlm_RunPercentage, log-sigma-4-0-mm-3D_glrlm_ShortRunLowGrayLevelEmphasis, wavelet-LLH_glcm_SumEntropy) had AUCs of 0.86 (training) and 0.77 (test). The model containing 7 PVAT RFs (which are log-sigma-3-0-mm-3D_firstorder_InterquartileRange, log-sigma-3-0-mm-3D_glcm_Correlation, wavelet-LHL_firstorder_Energy, wavelet-LHL_firstorder_TotalEnergy, wavelet-LHH_firstorder_Mean, wavelet-LHH_glcm_Idmn, wavelet-LHH_glszm_GrayLevelNonUniformityNormalized) had AUCs of 0.76 (training) and 0.78 (test). Combining AAA and PVAT RFs yielded the highest accuracy: AUCs of 0.93 (training) and 0.87 (test).

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics-based CTA model predicts aneurysm sac regression post-EVAR in AAA patients. PVAT RFs from preoperative CTA images were closely related to AAA prognosis after EVAR, enhancing accuracy when combined with AAA RFs. This preliminary study explores a predictive model designed to assist clinicians in optimizing therapeutic strategies during clinical decision-making processes.