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新冠疫情流行后期韩国社交接触动态的量化:一项关于传染病传播的横断面调查

Quantifying social contact dynamics in South Korea in the post-COVID-19 endemic phase: A cross-sectional survey for infectious disease transmission.

作者信息

Shin Gyeongseon, Bae SeungJin

机构信息

College of Pharmacy, Ewha Womans University, Seoul 03760, South Korea.

出版信息

J Infect Public Health. 2025 Jun;18(6):102725. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.102725. Epub 2025 Feb 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Understanding the dynamics of social contact patterns is crucial for modeling the spread of infectious diseases. Although previous studies have examined them globally, how relevant they are to social patterns in the endemic phase is still unclear. South Korea's distinct cultural norms, aging population, and declining fertility highlight the critical need for new, context-specific data. Here, we aim to conduct a contact survey in South Korea, providing age and location-specific contact estimates and quantifying patterns related to infectious disease transmission.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional survey in South Korea from July 6 to September 5, 2023. Participants of all ages were recruited using quota sampling based on the 2023 census, with only one individual per household included. Social contacts, both physical and non-physical, were recorded through a 24-hour diary. The data were analyzed with a negative binomial regression model. Age-specific contact matrices were constructed using census-based sampling weights, with uncertainty assessed through bootstrapping.

RESULTS

A total of 1493 participants (740 males and 753 females) reported 14,187 contacts, with an average of 9.2 daily contacts (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 8.7-9.8). Contacts peaked at 17.8 (95 % CI: 14.6-21.5) among children aged 5-9 and were lowest at 3.5 (95 % CI: 2.6-4.5) for those aged 75 and above. Children and teenagers had a higher rate of peer-group contact, with most contacts occurring in workplaces or educational institutions. The level of family contact increased across all age groups.

CONCLUSION

We identified distinct social contact patterns in South Korea, such as high interactions within peer groups, which suggest the need for school-based vaccination programs, family-centered strategies, and workplace infection control measures. These findings provide critical baseline data to enhance disease modeling and inform professional public health policy development in South Korea and other cultural contexts.

摘要

背景

了解社会接触模式的动态变化对于传染病传播建模至关重要。尽管先前的研究已在全球范围内对其进行了考察,但它们在地方流行阶段与社会模式的相关性仍不明确。韩国独特的文化规范、老龄化人口和生育率下降凸显了获取新的、针对具体情况的数据的迫切需求。在此,我们旨在在韩国开展一项接触调查,提供特定年龄和地点的接触估计值,并量化与传染病传播相关的模式。

方法

我们于2023年7月6日至9月5日在韩国进行了一项横断面调查。根据2023年人口普查采用配额抽样招募了所有年龄段的参与者,每户仅纳入一人。通过24小时日记记录身体接触和非身体接触的社会接触情况。使用负二项回归模型对数据进行分析。使用基于人口普查的抽样权重构建特定年龄的接触矩阵,并通过自助法评估不确定性。

结果

共有1493名参与者(740名男性和753名女性)报告了14187次接触,平均每天接触9.2次(95%置信区间[CI]:8.7 - 9.8)。5至9岁儿童的接触次数峰值为17.8次(95%CI:14.6 - 21.5),75岁及以上人群的接触次数最低,为3.5次(95%CI:2.6 - 4.5)。儿童和青少年的同龄人接触率较高,大多数接触发生在工作场所或教育机构。所有年龄组的家庭接触水平都有所增加。

结论

我们在韩国识别出了独特的社会接触模式,例如同龄人之间的高互动,这表明需要开展基于学校的疫苗接种计划、以家庭为中心的策略以及工作场所感染控制措施。这些发现提供了关键的基线数据,以加强疾病建模,并为韩国及其他文化背景下的专业公共卫生政策制定提供参考。

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