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2023年中国浙江省影响不同蚊种数量的因素的负二项回归分析

Negative binomial regression analysis of factors influencing the number of distinct mosquito species in Zhejiang Province, China, 2023.

作者信息

Zhang Wenrong, Liu Qinmei, Ni Jing, Wang Jinna, Gong Zhenyu

机构信息

School of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 26;15(1):10433. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-94288-4.

Abstract

Mosquito species have different breeding environment requirements, understanding how environmental factors affect mosquito populations can help characterize mosquito vector ecology and facilitate control strategies. This study investigated the number of different mosquito species captured by mosquito trapping lights in relation to landscape, habitat, month, and the number of trapping lights. Field mosquitoes were collected using mosquito trapping lights at five different habitat locations in each monitoring site in Zhejiang Province, China from April to November 2023. The monitoring data were summarized using Excel 2016. Single-factor analysis was conducted using the chi-square (χ) test with SPSS 15.0 software, and multiple-factor analysis was performed using the negative binomial regression (NBR) model with Stata 16.0 software. The results indicated that landscape, habitat, and month all significantly impact the number of mosquitoes captured by mosquito trapping lights (P < 0.001). All regions in Zhejiang Province should develop targeted mosquito vector prevention and control strategies, taking into account local ecological conditions.

摘要

蚊虫种类对繁殖环境的要求各异,了解环境因素如何影响蚊虫种群有助于刻画蚊虫媒介生态并推动防控策略的制定。本研究调查了诱蚊灯捕获的不同蚊虫种类数量与景观、栖息地、月份以及诱蚊灯数量之间的关系。2023年4月至11月期间,在中国浙江省的每个监测点,使用诱蚊灯在五个不同的栖息地位置收集野外蚊虫。监测数据使用Excel 2016进行汇总。使用SPSS 15.0软件通过卡方(χ)检验进行单因素分析,并使用Stata 16.0软件通过负二项回归(NBR)模型进行多因素分析。结果表明,景观、栖息地和月份均对诱蚊灯捕获的蚊虫数量有显著影响(P < 0.001)。浙江省所有地区都应结合当地生态条件制定有针对性的蚊虫媒介预防和控制策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7b57/11947306/1fdc7016d6c2/41598_2025_94288_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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