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严重创伤老年患者的短期和长期死亡率:一项回顾性分析

Short- and Long-Term Mortality in Severely Injured Older Trauma Patients: A Retrospective Analysis.

作者信息

Ivanova Silviya, Hilverdink Elsa F, Bastian Johannes D, Jakob Dominik A, Exadaktylos Aristomenis K, Keel Marius J B, Schefold Joerg C, Anwander Helen, Lustenberger Thomas

机构信息

Department of Orthopedic Surgery and Traumatology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, 3010 Bern, Switzerland.

Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hand Surgery and Traumatology, Triemli Hospital, Birmendorferstrasse 497, 8063 Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2025 Mar 18;14(6):2064. doi: 10.3390/jcm14062064.

Abstract

: Older trauma patients experience increased in-hospital mortality due to the physiological challenges associated with aging and injury severity. However, limited data exist on long-term mortality rates beyond hospital discharge, particularly among severely injured elderly trauma patients. Understanding these outcomes is essential for improving clinical management and rehabilitation strategies. The objective of this study was to evaluate cumulative mortality rates (in-hospital, 28-day, 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year) in older trauma patients with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) ≥ 16. Independent risk factors for 1-year mortality were also identified. : This retrospective cohort study included all trauma patients aged ≥ 65 years with ISS ≥ 16 admitted to the Emergency Department of our level 1 trauma center between January 2017 and December 2022. Demographic characteristics, injury patterns (Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) scores, ISS), and mortality rates were collected from electronic health records. Patients were stratified into two age groups: 65-80 years and >80 years. Mortality rates were compared with those in the corresponding age groups in the general Swiss population. Statistical analysis included Kaplan-Meier survival curves and logistic regression for identifying risk factors associated with 1-year mortality. : A total of 1189 older trauma patients with a mean ISS of 24.3 ± 7.9 were included. The most common injury was severe head trauma (AIS head ≥ 3: 70.6%), followed by chest trauma (AIS chest ≥ 3: 28.2%) and extremity injuries (AIS extremity ≥ 3: 17.4%). The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 10.3%. Mortality rates at 28 days, 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years were 15.8%, 26.5%, 31.5%, and 36.3%, respectively. Age-stratified analysis showed significantly higher mortality rates in patients aged > 80 years compared to the 65- to 80-year group at all post-discharge time points (28-day: 22.6% vs. 11.9%, < 0.001; 1-year: 39.9% vs. 18.8%, < 0.001; 2-year: 46.5% vs. 22.8%, < 0.001; 3-year: 56.4% vs. 24.9%, < 0.001). Compared to the general Swiss population, we observed significantly higher mortality rates at all measured time points in elderly trauma patients, particularly in those aged over 80 years, with 1-year mortality rates of 39.9% vs. 10% in the general population and 3-year mortality rates of 56.4% vs. 30% in the general population. Independent risk factors for 1-year mortality included advanced age and severe head injury (AIS head ≥ 3, < 0.001). : Severely injured elderly trauma patients face high long-term mortality risks, with 1-year mortality rates reaching 26.5% overall and nearly 40% in patients aged > 80 years. These findings highlight the need for research on tailored, holistic management strategies, including comprehensive in-hospital care, specialized neurorehabilitation, and post-discharge follow-up programs to improve survival and functional recovery in this vulnerable population.

摘要

老年创伤患者由于与衰老和损伤严重程度相关的生理挑战,住院死亡率增加。然而,关于出院后长期死亡率的数据有限,尤其是在严重受伤的老年创伤患者中。了解这些结果对于改善临床管理和康复策略至关重要。本研究的目的是评估损伤严重程度评分(ISS)≥16的老年创伤患者的累积死亡率(住院、28天、1年、2年和3年)。还确定了1年死亡率的独立危险因素。

这项回顾性队列研究纳入了2017年1月至2022年12月期间入住我们一级创伤中心急诊科的所有年龄≥65岁、ISS≥16的创伤患者。从电子健康记录中收集人口统计学特征、损伤模式(简明损伤量表(AIS)评分、ISS)和死亡率。患者被分为两个年龄组:65 - 80岁和>80岁。将死亡率与瑞士普通人群中相应年龄组的死亡率进行比较。统计分析包括Kaplan - Meier生存曲线和逻辑回归,以确定与1年死亡率相关的危险因素。

共纳入1189例平均ISS为24.3±7.9的老年创伤患者。最常见的损伤是严重颅脑创伤(AIS头部≥3:70.6%),其次是胸部创伤(AIS胸部≥3:28.2%)和四肢损伤(AIS四肢≥3:17.4%)。总体住院死亡率为10.3%。28天、1年、2年和3年的死亡率分别为15.8%、26.5%、31.5%和36.3%。年龄分层分析显示,在所有出院后时间点,>80岁患者的死亡率显著高于65至80岁组(28天:22.6%对11.9%,<0.001;1年:39.9%对18.8%,<0.001;2年:46.5%对22.8%,<0.001;3年:56.4%对24.9%,<0.001)。与瑞士普通人群相比,我们观察到老年创伤患者在所有测量时间点的死亡率均显著更高,尤其是80岁以上的患者,1年死亡率在普通人群中为10%,而在老年创伤患者中为39.9%,3年死亡率在普通人群中为30%,而在老年创伤患者中为56.4%。1年死亡率的独立危险因素包括高龄和严重颅脑损伤(AIS头部≥3,<0.001)。

严重受伤的老年创伤患者面临较高的长期死亡风险,总体1年死亡率达到26.5%,>80岁患者接近40%。这些发现凸显了对量身定制的整体管理策略进行研究的必要性,包括全面的住院护理、专门的神经康复以及出院后随访计划,以改善这一脆弱人群的生存率和功能恢复。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0b51/11942779/bf28e9d36969/jcm-14-02064-g001.jpg

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