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采用简化颈动脉内膜中层厚度测量方案增强心血管风险预测:来自IMPROVE研究的证据。

Enhancing Cardiovascular Risk Prediction with a Simplified Carotid IMT Protocol: Evidence from the IMPROVE Study.

作者信息

Veglia Fabrizio, Malagoni Anna Maria, Amato Mauro, Strawbridge Rona J, Savonen Kai, Giral Philippe, Gallo Antonio, Pirro Matteo, Gigante Bruna, Eriksson Per, Mulder Douwe J, Frigerio Beatrice, Sansaro Daniela, Ravani Alessio, Coggi Daniela, Baetta Roberta, Capra Nicolò, Tremoli Elena, Baldassarre Damiano

机构信息

Maria Cecilia Hospital, GVM Care & Research, 48033 Cotignola, Italy.

Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, 20138 Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Biomedicines. 2025 Feb 26;13(3):584. doi: 10.3390/biomedicines13030584.

Abstract

: Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) has long been used as an index of subclinical atherosclerosis, but its role as a risk modifier in cardiovascular (CV) risk optimization has recently been questioned due to methodological problems, such as lack of protocol standardization and scanning difficulties. In this multicentre, longitudinal, and observational study, we tested the predictive ability of two new CIMT variables detectable with a simplified, quick, and easy-to-standardize protocol. : CIMT was measured in 3165 subjects from six centers, in five European countries, belonging to the IMPROVE study. The two variables tested were the average of two maximal CIMT measures taken, from a single angle, in the right and left common carotids (1CC-IMT) or bifurcations (BIF-IMT). The ability to predict CV events, on top of the SCORE2/SCORE2-OP risk algorithm, was quantified by the time-dependent increase in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC). : During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 367 cardio-, cerebro-, and peripheral-vascular events were registered. Both CIMT variables tested were associated with CV risk, but 1CC-IMT was also able to significantly increase the ROC AUC over the risk score (+0.017, = 0.014). The result was stable after running several sensitivity analyses. : 1CC-IMT is able to significantly improve the predictive capacity of SCORE2/SCORE2-OP. Being based on a simple and easily standardized measurement protocol, this new variable is a promising candidate for application in mass screening and risk assessment in primary prevention.

摘要

颈动脉内膜中层厚度(CIMT)长期以来一直被用作亚临床动脉粥样硬化的指标,但由于缺乏方案标准化和扫描困难等方法学问题,其在心血管(CV)风险优化中作为风险修正指标的作用最近受到了质疑。在这项多中心、纵向观察性研究中,我们测试了两个新的CIMT变量的预测能力,这两个变量可通过一种简化、快速且易于标准化的方案检测到。:在来自五个欧洲国家六个中心的3165名属于IMPROVE研究的受试者中测量了CIMT。测试的两个变量是从单一角度在右侧和左侧颈总动脉(1CC-IMT)或分叉处(BIF-IMT)获取的两个最大CIMT测量值的平均值。在SCORE2/SCORE2-OP风险算法之上预测CV事件的能力通过曲线下受试者操作特征(ROC)面积随时间的增加来量化。:在中位随访7.1年期间,记录了367例心血管、脑血管和外周血管事件。测试的两个CIMT变量均与CV风险相关,但1CC-IMT也能够使ROC AUC比风险评分显著增加(+0.017,P = 0.014)。在进行多次敏感性分析后结果稳定。:1CC-IMT能够显著提高SCORE2/SCORE2-OP的预测能力。基于简单且易于标准化的测量方案,这个新变量是在一级预防的大规模筛查和风险评估中应用的有前途的候选指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8a02/11940431/198a426b6016/biomedicines-13-00584-g002.jpg

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