Shao Linhan, Xu Tingting, Wang Kaiyong, Chen Yufan
Ningbo University Donghai Academy, Zhejiang Ocean Development Think Tank Alliance, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China.
Department of Geography and Spatial Information Techniques, Zhejiang Collaborative Innovation Center & Ningbo Universities Collaborative Innovation Center for Land and Marine Spatial Utilization and Governance Research, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Apr 1;20(4):e0320687. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0320687. eCollection 2025.
Administrative division adjustment is a new reform method and policy tool designed to align with local economic foundations and revitalize the development potential of administrative districts. However, it lacks systematic and quantifiable theories and methods. In response, we propose the Political Location Potential (PLP) model based on production functions, which is specifically applicable to islands. Using the Zhoushan Archipelago New Area as a case study, we analyze the efficiency and mechanisms behind the establishment of China's first archipelago new area. The PLP model consists of two key components: horizontal production resource allocation capability and vertical administrative management authority. The PLP of Zhoushan City has increased from 0.007 in 2008 to 0.066 in 2022, with a relative potential energy of 2.853, 3.717 and 1.449 during the critical stages of 2010-2014, 2008-2013 and 2013-2018, respectively. Competitive comparative advantage and land-island connectivity capability have significant direct and indirect effects on the PLP of the island, but the impact effect shows a lag effect, with a lag period of 3-5 years. The theory and model of the PLP offer strong explanatory power for the effects of integrating administrative and functional zones, providing a fresh analytical perspective for local administrative division planning.
行政区划调整是一种旨在契合地方经济基础、激活行政区发展潜力的新型改革方式与政策工具。然而,它缺乏系统且可量化的理论与方法。对此,我们提出基于生产函数的政治区位潜力(PLP)模型,该模型特别适用于岛屿地区。以舟山群岛新区为例,我们分析了中国首个群岛新区设立背后的效率与机制。PLP模型由两个关键部分组成:横向生产资源配置能力和纵向行政管理权限。舟山市的PLP从2008年的0.007增长至2022年的0.066,在2010 - 2014年、2008 - 2013年和2013 - 2018年的关键阶段,其相对势能分别为2.853、3.717和1.449。竞争比较优势和陆岛连通能力对岛屿的PLP具有显著的直接和间接影响,但影响效应呈现滞后性,滞后周期为3 - 5年。PLP理论与模型对行政区与功能区整合的效果具有较强的解释力,为地方行政区划规划提供了全新的分析视角。