Liu Shuai, Zhang Hao, Jiang Guoxin
Ordos Institute of Liaoning Technical University, Ordos, China.
Collaborative Innovation Center of Mine Major Disaster Prevention and Environmental Restoration, Fuxin, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 2;15(1):11348. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92122-5.
The swift advancement of urbanization poses considerable obstacles to the sustainable growth of agriculture and the development of rural regions. The Yellow River Basin, a key area for agricultural production and ecological conservation in China, faces critical challenges such as land resource depletion and uneven rural development. A thorough exploration of the interaction and alignment between agricultural land use efficiency and rural revitalization in the Yellow River Basin is important for advancing sustainable agricultural and rural development. Accordingly, this study utilizes panel data from 62 cities in the Yellow River Basin covering 2013 to 2022. Building on a clear understanding of the coupling mechanism between agricultural land use efficiency and rural revitalization, the research employs a comprehensive approach, integrating Malmquist index analysis, the entropy weight-TOPSIS method, a coupling coordination degree model, the Dagum Gini coefficient, and GIS-based spatial analysis to examine the spatial-temporal evolution and regional disparities in their coupling coordination. The study revealed the following findings: (1) The coupling coordination level between agricultural land use efficiency and rural revitalization in the Yellow River Basin has remained at a "grudging coordination" stage and exhibits an unstable development trend. The fluctuating characteristics of Moran's I value and the misalignment between the policy framework and its objectives are potential causes of this phenomenon. (2) The cities in the Yellow River Basin are spatially interdependent. The core city radiates resources and economic vitality, driving the development of neighboring cities at the coupling coordination level, while the resource siphon effect remains relatively small. (3) Interregional differences between the upper and middle reaches are the primary sources of variation in the coupling coordination level within the basin. The upstream region has significantly contributed to the reduction in the overall Gini coefficient, leveraging its "late-mover advantage." In this regard, we put forward suggestions such as transforming the primitive development mode, adhering to the concept of integrated basin development, and emphasizing regionally differentiated policies to provide inspiration for achieving coupling coordination between the two.
城市化的快速推进给农业可持续发展和农村地区发展带来了巨大障碍。黄河流域作为中国农业生产和生态保护的关键区域,面临着土地资源枯竭和农村发展不均衡等严峻挑战。深入探究黄河流域农业土地利用效率与乡村振兴之间的相互作用和协同关系,对推动农业和农村可持续发展具有重要意义。据此,本研究运用了2013年至2022年黄河流域62个城市的面板数据。在明晰农业土地利用效率与乡村振兴耦合机制的基础上,综合运用Malmquist指数分析、熵权-TOPSIS法、耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数以及基于GIS的空间分析方法,考察二者耦合协调的时空演变及区域差异。研究得出以下结论:(1)黄河流域农业土地利用效率与乡村振兴的耦合协调水平一直处于“勉强协调”阶段,且发展态势不稳定。莫兰指数I值的波动特征以及政策框架与目标的不匹配是导致这一现象的潜在原因。(2)黄河流域各城市在空间上相互依存。核心城市辐射资源和经济活力,在耦合协调层面带动周边城市发展,而资源虹吸效应相对较小。(3)流域内耦合协调水平差异的主要来源是上游和中游地区之间的区域差异。上游地区利用其“后发优势”,对总体基尼系数的降低做出了显著贡献。对此,我们提出转变原始发展模式、坚持流域一体化发展理念、强调区域差异化政策等建议,为实现二者的耦合协调提供思路。