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Construction and validation of a novel nomogram based on the log odds of positive lymph nodes to predict cancer-specific survival in elderly patients with gastric adenocarcinoma after radical surgery.

作者信息

Wang Lei, Ge Jingjing, Fang Yihua, Han Huiqiong, Qin Yanru

机构信息

Department of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450052, China.

Department of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, 510060, China.

出版信息

BMC Gastroenterol. 2025 Apr 2;25(1):215. doi: 10.1186/s12876-025-03813-2.


DOI:10.1186/s12876-025-03813-2
PMID:40175902
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11963558/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) in survival prediction of elderly patients with gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC) after gastrectomy, and to construct a relevant survival prediction model. METHODS: In this study, patient data was collected from both the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and a medical records database at a hospital in China. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate Cox analysis were used to identify independent risk factors for cancer-specific survival (CSS) and a nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariate Cox regression. Using consistency index (C-index), calibration curve, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (tdROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the predictive performance of nomogram. Generating Kaplan-Meier survival curves to show the difference in CSS between different groups. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that race, site, T stage, size, and LODDS were independently associated with the CSS. The C-index and AUC of the nomogram both exceed 0.71, while the calibration curve suggests that the nomogram accurately predicts CSS. Additionally, DCA curve results demonstrate superior clinical net benefits of the nomogram over TNM staging. High-risk patients identified by the predictive model exhibit inferior survival outcomes compared to low-risk patients. In addition, group comparison showed that only high-risk patients or high-LODDS group could benefit from chemotherapy and radiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: The LODDS is an independent prognostic factor for elderly GAC patients after gastrectomy. The nomogram based on LODDS has better predictive ability than the traditional TNM staging system, assisting clinical doctors in evaluating patient prognosis and guiding treatment.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/00dc856e9489/12876_2025_3813_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/172880bd03e0/12876_2025_3813_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/2e862da0cb8e/12876_2025_3813_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/e9006c5c9db5/12876_2025_3813_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/134dce70885e/12876_2025_3813_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/1a69b0744e88/12876_2025_3813_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/00dc856e9489/12876_2025_3813_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/172880bd03e0/12876_2025_3813_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/2e862da0cb8e/12876_2025_3813_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/e9006c5c9db5/12876_2025_3813_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/134dce70885e/12876_2025_3813_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/1a69b0744e88/12876_2025_3813_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9596/11963558/00dc856e9489/12876_2025_3813_Fig6_HTML.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Construction and validation of a novel nomogram based on the log odds of positive lymph nodes to predict cancer-specific survival in elderly patients with gastric adenocarcinoma after radical surgery.

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[2]
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[3]
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[4]
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[5]
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[6]
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[7]
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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Prognostic value of nodal staging classification and number of examined lymph nodes among patients with ampullary cancer.

J Gastrointest Surg. 2024-1

[2]
Cancer statistics, 2024.

CA Cancer J Clin. 2024

[3]
Survival Outcomes and Patterns of Care for Stage II or III Resected Gastric Cancer by Race and Ethnicity.

JAMA Netw Open. 2023-12-1

[4]
How to use the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data: research design and methodology.

Mil Med Res. 2023-10-31

[5]
A Nomogram Based on the Log Odds of Positive Lymph Nodes Predicts the Prognosis of Patients with Colon Neuroendocrine Tumors After Surgery: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Population-Based Study.

Technol Cancer Res Treat. 2023

[6]
Comparisons of different lymph node staging systems for predicting overall survival of node-positive patients with renal cell carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database.

BMJ Open. 2023-4-26

[7]
Predicative factors and development of a nomogram for postoperative delayed neurocognitive recovery in elderly patients with gastric cancer.

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2023-7

[8]
Establishment and validation of a prognostic nomogram for postoperative patients with gastric cardia adenocarcinoma: A study based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and a Chinese cohort.

Cancer Med. 2023-6

[9]
Risk factors and a nomogram model for postoperative delirium in elderly gastric cancer patients after laparoscopic gastrectomy.

World J Surg Oncol. 2022-9-29

[10]
The Clinical Impact of Advanced Age on the Postoperative Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer: Analysis Across US Hospitals Between 2011-2017.

J Gastric Cancer. 2022-7

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