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Risk factors for non-vertebral fractures in community-dwelling elderly: a 10-year follow-up study in New Zealand.

作者信息

Liu Haixia, Wu Zhenqiang, Scragg Robert

机构信息

Section of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Population Health, Faculty of Medical and Health Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.

出版信息

Arch Osteoporos. 2025 Apr 9;20(1):44. doi: 10.1007/s11657-025-01530-7.


DOI:10.1007/s11657-025-01530-7
PMID:40202525
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11982128/
Abstract

UNLABELLED: This 10-year study of 5000 + adults aged 50-84 found 20% experienced non-vertebral fractures. Higher risk was linked to female sex, older age, European ethnicity, lower education, living alone, alcohol use, prior falls/fractures, osteoporosis, arthritis, and antidepressants. Targeting modifiable factors (living arrangements, alcohol, antidepressants) could reduce fracture burden cost-effectively in older adults. BACKGROUND: Although there has been extensive research on non-vertebral fractures, their risk factors remain incompletely understood. This study aimed to examine risk factors associated with non-vertebral fractures through a longitudinal examination of a community-dwelling cohort. METHODS: This was a follow-up of participants recruited from family practices into a randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation and interviewed between 2011 and 2012, with follow-up until 2022. The outcome was the first non-vertebral fracture during the follow-up period, as identified from hospital events and insurance claims for fractures. Candidate risk factors were selected using a domain-based approach, and Cox models were employed to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: The analysis comprised 5108 participants aged 50-84 years. Of these, 83% were of European/other ethnicity. A substantial proportion reported living with non-family members or living alone (20.5%), engaging in daily drinking (21.6%), or using antidepressants (11.9%). Over a median 10-year follow-up, 1016 participants (20%) experienced non-vertebral fractures. In the multivariable model, several factors were related to higher risk of non-vertebral fracture, including females (HR = 1.53), aged 80-84 years (HR = 1.47), European/other ethnicity, primary school education (HR = 1.65), living with non-family members (HR = 1.47) or living alone (HR = 1.29), daily alcohol drinking (HR = 1.51), history of falls (HR = 1.59) or fractures (HR = 1.43), osteoporosis (HR = 1.95), and arthritis (HR = 1.20), and dispensing of antidepressants (HR = 1.52) and antiarrhythmic medications (HR = 1.51). CONCLUSION: Non-vertebral fractures are prevalent among older adults, with several prevalent and potentially modifiable risk factors identified, such as living situation, drinking habits, and antidepressant dispensing. Further exploration of these factors' causality and the implementation of public health interventions targeting them, could yield significant benefits and cost-effectively reduce the burden of fractures. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12611000402943).

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c465/11982128/784f21e6a841/11657_2025_1530_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c465/11982128/784f21e6a841/11657_2025_1530_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c465/11982128/784f21e6a841/11657_2025_1530_Fig1_HTML.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Risk factors for non-vertebral fractures in community-dwelling elderly: a 10-year follow-up study in New Zealand.

Arch Osteoporos. 2025-4-9

[2]
Effect of monthly high-dose vitamin D supplementation on falls and non-vertebral fractures: secondary and post-hoc outcomes from the randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled ViDA trial.

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2017-4-28

[3]
Predictors of imminent non-vertebral fracture in elderly women with osteoporosis, low bone mass, or a history of fracture, based on data from the population-based Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos).

Arch Osteoporos. 2019-5-16

[4]
Total 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels predict fracture risk: results from the 15-year follow-up of the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study.

Osteoporos Int. 2017-2-27

[5]
Odanacatib for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis: results of the LOFT multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial and LOFT Extension study.

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2019-10-31

[6]
Vitamin D sufficiency is associated with low incidence of limb and vertebral fractures in community-dwelling elderly Japanese women: the Muramatsu Study.

Osteoporos Int. 2010-3-24

[7]
Falls prevention interventions for community-dwelling older adults: systematic review and meta-analysis of benefits, harms, and patient values and preferences.

Syst Rev. 2024-11-26

[8]
Screening for the primary prevention of fragility fractures among adults aged 40 years and older in primary care: systematic reviews of the effects and acceptability of screening and treatment, and the accuracy of risk prediction tools.

Syst Rev. 2023-3-21

[9]
Body mass index, height, and osteoporotic fracture risk in community-dwelling Japanese people aged 40-74 years.

J Bone Miner Metab. 2024-1

[10]
Exercise for improving outcomes after osteoporotic vertebral fracture.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2019-7-5

本文引用的文献

[1]
A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies.

Osteoporos Int. 2024-3

[2]
Previous fracture and subsequent fracture risk: a meta-analysis to update FRAX.

Osteoporos Int. 2023-12

[3]
Muscle strength and physical performance contribute to and improve fracture risk prediction in older people: A narrative review.

Bone. 2023-7

[4]
Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Fractures: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies.

Adv Nutr. 2023-7

[5]
Falls and fractures in the acute care setting: A retrospective cohort study.

Australas J Ageing. 2023-9

[6]
Risk and determinants of low and very low bone mineral density and fractures in a national cohort of Dutch adult childhood cancer survivors (DCCSS-LATER): a cross-sectional study.

Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2023-1

[7]
Fractures reduction with osteoporotic treatments in patients over 75-year-old: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Front Aging. 2022-11-2

[8]
Exercise and the prevention of major osteoporotic fractures in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis with special emphasis on intensity progression and study duration.

Osteoporos Int. 2023-1

[9]
Association between changes in depressive symptoms and hip fracture among middle-aged and older Chinese individuals: a prospective cohort study.

BMC Geriatr. 2022-11-8

[10]
Fracture Risk Among Older Cancer Survivors Compared With Older Adults Without a History of Cancer.

JAMA Oncol. 2023-1-1

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