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地球物理变量与行为:二十八。群体医疗寻求行为与气象变量。

Geophysical variables and behavior: XXVIII. Group health-care-seeking behavior and meteorological variables.

作者信息

Cyr K A

出版信息

Percept Mot Skills. 1985 Jun;60(3):863-6. doi: 10.2466/pms.1985.60.3.863.

Abstract

Outpatient visits to a "subtropical" military medical clinic (group health-care-seeking behavior) were correlated to weather variables via stepwise linear regression. Despite several significant sets of correlations, quantitative (r, r2, multiple R, multiple R2 and x2) and qualitative (matrix) analyses did not support the existence of lag/causal relationships between weather and behavior. The largest amount of variance (r2) attributable to an individual weather variable was 3% for lower (minimum) daily mean wind speed per month. No regression accommodated more than 36% of variance. Thus, 64% of variance was due to unidentified variables. A winter "seasonal effect" (December and January) was tentatively identified. Group influenza immunizations and 3-day holidays preceded increased visits.

摘要

通过逐步线性回归分析,将前往一家“亚热带”军队医疗诊所的门诊就诊情况(集体医疗就诊行为)与天气变量进行关联。尽管存在几组显著的相关性,但定量分析(r、r2、复相关系数R、复决定系数R2和卡方)和定性分析(矩阵分析)均不支持天气与行为之间存在滞后/因果关系。单个天气变量导致的最大方差量(r2)为每月较低(最低)日平均风速的3%。没有任何回归模型能够解释超过36%的方差。因此,64%的方差归因于未识别的变量。初步确定了冬季的“季节效应”(12月和1月)。在就诊量增加之前有集体流感疫苗接种和为期3天的假期。

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