差异化服务提供模式实施后,COVID-19对南非男男性行为者艾滋病毒治疗结果的影响:一项中断时间序列分析

Impact of COVID-19 on the HIV Treatment Outcomes Among Men Who Have Sex with Men in South Africa After the Implementation of a Differentiated Service Delivery Model: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

作者信息

Sebati Betty, Phalane Edith, Shiferaw Yegnanew A, Pienaar Jacqueline, Furamera Stanford, Phaswana-Mafuya Refilwe Nancy

机构信息

South Africa Medical Research Council/University of Johannesburg (SAMRC/UJ) Pan African Centre for Epidemics Research (PACER) Extramural Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Johannesburg 2092, South Africa.

Department of Statistics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg 2092, South Africa.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Mar 19;22(3):452. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22030452.

Abstract

The impacts of COVID-19 among men who have sex with men (MSM), who face limited access to HIV services due to stigma, discrimination, and violence, need to be assessed and quantified in terms of HIV treatment outcomes for future pandemic preparedness. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on the HIV treatment cascade among MSM in selected provinces of South Africa using routine programme data after the implementation of differentiated service delivery (DSD) models. An interrupted time series analysis was employed to observe the trends and patterns of HIV treatment outcomes among MSM in Gauteng, Mpumalanga, and KwaZulu-Natal from 1 January 2018 to 31 December 2022. Interrupted time series analysis was applied to quantify changes in the accessibility and utilisation of HIV treatment services using the R software version 4.4.1. The segmented regression models showed a decrease followed by an upward trend in all HIV treatment outcomes. After the implementation of the DSD model, significant increases in positive HIV tests (estimate = 0.001572; < 0.001), linkage to HIV care (estimate = 0.001486; < 0.001), ART initiations (estimate = 0.001003; = 0.004), ART collection (estimate = 0.001748; < 0.001), and taking viral load tests (estimate = 0.001109; = 0.001) were observed. There was an overall increase in all HIV treatment outcomes during the COVID-19 lockdown in light of the DSD model.

摘要

男男性行为者(MSM)因耻辱感、歧视和暴力而获得艾滋病毒服务的机会有限,新冠疫情对他们的影响需要从艾滋病毒治疗结果方面进行评估和量化,以便为未来的大流行防范做好准备。本研究旨在利用差异化服务提供(DSD)模式实施后的常规项目数据,评估新冠疫情封锁对南非选定省份男男性行为者艾滋病毒治疗流程的影响。采用中断时间序列分析来观察2018年1月1日至2022年12月31日豪登省、姆普马兰加省和夸祖鲁 - 纳塔尔省男男性行为者艾滋病毒治疗结果的趋势和模式。使用R软件版本4.4.1应用中断时间序列分析来量化艾滋病毒治疗服务可及性和利用率的变化。分段回归模型显示,所有艾滋病毒治疗结果均呈先下降后上升的趋势。实施DSD模式后,艾滋病毒检测阳性率(估计值 = 0.001572;< 0.001)、与艾滋病毒治疗的联系(估计值 = 0.001486;< 0.001)、抗逆转录病毒治疗启动(估计值 = 0.001003;= 0.004)、抗逆转录病毒治疗药物领取(估计值 = 0.001748;< 0.001)和进行病毒载量检测(估计值 = 0.001109;= 0.001)均有显著增加。鉴于DSD模式,在新冠疫情封锁期间,所有艾滋病毒治疗结果总体上有所增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c1af/11942593/5f97c612f365/ijerph-22-00452-g001.jpg

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