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Improving risk analysis of the environmental drivers of the spillover, emergence/re-emergence and spread of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus, Marburg virus and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus in the East Africa Region.

作者信息

Ajumobi Oluwayemisi, Davis Meghan, George Christine Marie, Rosman Lori, Von Dobschuetz Sophie, Watson Crystal, Nuzzo Jennifer B

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health and Engineering, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA

Center for Health Security, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.

出版信息

BMJ Glob Health. 2025 Apr 16;10(4):e019162. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2025-019162.


DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2025-019162
PMID:40240055
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12004484/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Emerging and/or re-emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) in the East Africa region are associated with climate change-induced environmental drivers. There is a need for a comprehensive understanding of these environmental drivers and to adopt an integrated risk analysis (IRA) framework for addressing a combination of the biological, environmental and socioeconomic factors that increase population vulnerabilities to EID risks to inform biological risk mitigation and cross-sectoral decision-making. The aim of this integrative review was to identify knowledge gaps and contribute to a holistic understanding about the environmental drivers of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV), Marburg virus (MARV) and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infections in the East Africa Region to improve IRA processes at the environment-animal-human exposure interface. METHODS: An integrative review search was carried out to identify relevant studies and reports from 2000 to 2024. Searches were conducted in bibliographic databases and global institutional websites. Inclusion criteria were studies and reports (in English) addressing environmental drivers of CCHFV, MARV and MERS-CoV infections across countries in the East Africa region, existing risk frameworks/methodological tools and/or One Health policy recommendations for risk analysis of environmentally driven biological threats. RESULTS: Of the total number of studies retrieved from database searches (n=18 075) and website searches (n=44), 242 studies and reports combined were included in the review with the majority covering the environmental drivers (n=137), the risk frameworks/methodological tools (n=73) and the policy recommendations (n=32). We identified 10 categories of environmental drivers, four thematic groups of risk frameworks and three categories of policy recommendations. Overall, many of the included records on the risk frameworks/methodological tools expounded on the adoption of ecological niche modelling (ENM) for environmental monitoring of potential transmission pathways of EIDs and other biological threats. CONCLUSION: This integrative review recommends the adoption of specialised risk mapping approaches such as ENM for environmental monitoring of EIDs under IRA processes. Findings from the review were used for the conceptualisation of an IRA framework for addressing environmentally driven EIDs.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/1b6941eba9da/bmjgh-10-4-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/4191cae035ba/bmjgh-10-4-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/e65c99b03631/bmjgh-10-4-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/8927da93bab0/bmjgh-10-4-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/81e038d01f1a/bmjgh-10-4-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/1b6941eba9da/bmjgh-10-4-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/4191cae035ba/bmjgh-10-4-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/e65c99b03631/bmjgh-10-4-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/8927da93bab0/bmjgh-10-4-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/81e038d01f1a/bmjgh-10-4-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/628f/12004484/1b6941eba9da/bmjgh-10-4-g005.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Looking Beyond the Lens of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever in Africa.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2024-7

[2]
Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever Virus Seroprevalence in Human and Livestock Populations, Northern Tanzania.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2024-4

[3]
Biphasic MERS-CoV Incidence in Nomadic Dromedaries with Putative Transmission to Humans, Kenya, 2022-2023.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2024-3

[4]
Bat-Borne Pathogens and Public Health in Rural African Artisanal Gold Mines.

AMA J Ethics. 2024-2-1

[5]
A global examination of ecological niche modeling to predict emerging infectious diseases: a systematic review.

Front Public Health. 2023

[6]
Spatial prediction of Crimean Congo hemorrhagic fever virus seroprevalence among livestock in Uganda.

One Health. 2023-6-12

[7]
Micro‒Global Positioning Systems for Identifying Nightly Opportunities for Marburg Virus Spillover to Humans by Egyptian Rousette Bats.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2023-11

[8]
Prevention of zoonotic spillover: From relying on response to reducing the risk at source.

PLoS Pathog. 2023-10-5

[9]
Transmission Dynamics of Crimean-Congo Haemorrhagic Fever Virus (CCHFV): Evidence of Circulation in Humans, Livestock, and Rodents in Diverse Ecologies in Kenya.

Viruses. 2023-9-7

[10]
Impact of climate change on the distribution and predicted habitat suitability of two fruit bats ( and ) in Ethiopia: Implications for conservation.

Ecol Evol. 2023-9-12

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