Meshram Naina, Sayeed Mohmad Sejarali, Padmavathi P, Anusha R, Saiyad Sajidali S, Ekambaram Gnanadesigan, Mahalakshmi B, Pandey Santosh
Department of Emergency Medicine, Maharaja Agrasen Hospital, New Delhi, IND.
Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Aryavart Hospital, Meerut, IND.
Cureus. 2025 Mar 22;17(3):e80991. doi: 10.7759/cureus.80991. eCollection 2025 Mar.
Introduction Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common yet severe digestive disorder characterized by sudden inflammation of the pancreas, resulting in substantial morbidity and mortality. Although the underlying causes of AP are multifactorial, gallstones and alcohol abuse remain the most prevalent triggers. The first 24 hours are critical in determining a patient's risk of complications and outcomes. Various scoring systems, including the Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) and the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS), have been developed to predict disease severity and guide clinical management. This study compares the performance of these two scoring systems in predicting severe cases of AP. Materials and methods A prospective, hospital-based study was conducted over two years at Maharaja Agrasen Hospital, New Delhi, India, enrolling 102 patients diagnosed with AP. Patients' clinical data, including demographic details, laboratory parameters, and imaging findings, were collected, and both BISAP and HAPS scores were calculated. The primary objective was to compare the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive performance of the two scores in forecasting clinical outcomes, including pancreatic necrosis, organ failure, and mortality. Results Among 102 participants, BISAP demonstrated 100% sensitivity and specificity for mortality prediction. However, the cohort exhibited an exceptionally high mortality rate (82.3%) and complication burden (pancreatic necrosis: 85.3%; organ failure: 80.4%), likely reflecting referral bias in this tertiary care population. HAPS showed higher overall accuracy (65.7% vs. 62.7%), suggesting complementary roles in risk stratification. Caution is warranted when generalizing BISAP's performance to lower-risk cohorts. Discussion This study highlights the predictive value of both BISAP and HAPS in assessing the severity of AP. BISAP demonstrated higher specificity, making it useful for identifying severe cases, while HAPS exhibited better sensitivity and overall accuracy, particularly for predicting pancreatic necrosis. These results suggest that both scores are valuable tools for early identification and risk stratification in AP, though their complementary use may provide the most effective clinical guidance. Further research may be needed to incorporate additional biomarkers to improve diagnostic accuracy. Conclusion Both BISAP and HAPS scoring systems serve as useful tools in predicting the severity of AP, with BISAP excelling in specificity and HAPS in sensitivity. Future clinical protocols may benefit from combining these tools to optimize early detection and management of severe AP cases.
引言
急性胰腺炎(AP)是一种常见但严重的消化系统疾病,其特征是胰腺突然发炎,导致较高的发病率和死亡率。尽管AP的潜在病因是多因素的,但胆结石和酒精滥用仍然是最常见的诱因。最初的24小时对于确定患者的并发症风险和预后至关重要。已经开发了各种评分系统,包括急性胰腺炎床边严重程度指数(BISAP)和无害急性胰腺炎评分(HAPS),以预测疾病严重程度并指导临床管理。本研究比较了这两种评分系统在预测AP重症病例方面的表现。
材料与方法
在印度新德里的玛哈拉贾·阿格拉森医院进行了一项为期两年的前瞻性、基于医院的研究,纳入了102例被诊断为AP的患者。收集了患者的临床数据,包括人口统计学细节、实验室参数和影像学检查结果,并计算了BISAP和HAPS评分。主要目的是比较这两种评分在预测临床结局(包括胰腺坏死、器官衰竭和死亡率)方面的敏感性、特异性和预测性能。
结果
在102名参与者中,BISAP在死亡率预测方面表现出100%的敏感性和特异性。然而,该队列显示出异常高的死亡率(82.3%)和并发症负担(胰腺坏死:85.3%;器官衰竭:80.4%),这可能反映了这个三级护理人群中的转诊偏倚。HAPS显示出更高的总体准确性(65.7%对62.7%),表明在风险分层中具有互补作用。在将BISAP的性能推广到低风险队列时需要谨慎。
讨论
本研究强调了BISAP和HAPS在评估AP严重程度方面的预测价值。BISAP表现出更高的特异性,使其有助于识别重症病例,而HAPS表现出更好的敏感性和总体准确性,特别是在预测胰腺坏死方面。这些结果表明,这两种评分都是AP早期识别和风险分层的有价值工具,尽管它们的互补使用可能提供最有效的临床指导。可能需要进一步的研究纳入额外的生物标志物以提高诊断准确性。
结论
BISAP和HAPS评分系统都是预测AP严重程度的有用工具,BISAP在特异性方面表现出色,HAPS在敏感性方面表现出色。未来的临床方案可能会受益于结合这些工具,以优化重症AP病例的早期检测和管理。