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美国肉牛饲养场牛肝脏脓肿的经济成本:一项综合经济分析。

Economic costs of liver abscesses in U.S. beef feedlot cattle: a comprehensive economic analysis.

作者信息

Taylor Daniel D, Groenendaal Huybert, Morley Paul S, Zagmutt Francisco

机构信息

EpiX Analytics, Fort Collins, CO 80525, USA.

VERO Program, Texas A&M University, Canyon, TX 79015, USA.

出版信息

J Anim Sci. 2025 Jan 4;103. doi: 10.1093/jas/skaf127.

Abstract

Liver abscesses (LA) cause significant economic losses in U.S. beef feedlot cattle through a variety of production and performance effects. This research estimated annual economic losses secondary to LA in U.S. beef feedlot cattle using a stochastic simulation model that was based on data from the literature, economic data, and expert opinion. LA prevalence was estimated for 4 U.S. regions and 4 cattle types along with their combinations. Economic losses were estimated by combining modeling results from individual loss categories related to feed efficiency, liver, offal, and trim loss, effects on carcass quality, and processing delays. Losses were also estimated under different antimicrobial use and production scenarios. We estimated that LA result in annual losses of $256M (95% Credible interval: $162M to $378M) to the U.S. beef industry. Decreased average daily gain (ADG) and a lower dressing percentage prior to trimming accounted for nearly half (48.6%) of these losses, while liver and offal condemnation and excess trimming comprised approximately 40% of all losses. Processing delays were estimated to contribute approximately 5% of the total losses. There was also substantial variation in the estimated prevalence and impacts of LA by region and cattle type, with beef-dairy crossbred (BD) cattle in the Western region experiencing the highest economic losses per animal. Scenario analyses predicted that eliminating the use of tylosin may nearly double LA prevalence and associated economic costs while transitioning all beef cattle born on dairies from Holsteins to BD cattle would only slightly increase overall losses. Our findings show that LA cause substantial, yet uncertain, losses to the U.S. beef feedlot industry. The results also emphasize the need for additional research to elucidate the effect of LA on feed efficiency and to improve LA prevention strategies, which could enhance animal health and productivity as well as industry sustainability.

摘要

肝脓肿(LA)通过多种生产和性能影响,给美国肉牛饲养场的牛群造成了巨大的经济损失。本研究使用基于文献数据、经济数据和专家意见的随机模拟模型,估算了美国肉牛饲养场中由LA导致的年度经济损失。研究估计了美国4个地区和4种牛类型及其组合的LA患病率。通过结合与饲料效率、肝脏、内脏和修整损失、对胴体质量的影响以及加工延迟相关的各个损失类别的建模结果,估算了经济损失。还在不同的抗菌药物使用和生产情景下估算了损失。我们估计,LA给美国牛肉行业造成的年度损失为2.56亿美元(95%可信区间:1.62亿美元至3.78亿美元)。平均日增重(ADG)下降以及修整前屠宰率降低占这些损失的近一半(48.6%),而肝脏和内脏废弃以及过度修整约占所有损失的40%。加工延迟估计占总损失的约5%。按地区和牛类型划分,LA的估计患病率和影响也存在很大差异,西部地区的肉牛-奶牛杂交(BD)牛每头动物的经济损失最高。情景分析预测,停用泰乐菌素可能使LA患病率和相关经济成本几乎翻倍,而将所有在奶牛场出生的肉牛从荷斯坦牛转变为BD牛只会略微增加总体损失。我们的研究结果表明,LA给美国肉牛饲养场行业造成了巨大但不确定的损失。结果还强调需要进行更多研究,以阐明LA对饲料效率的影响,并改进LA预防策略,这可以提高动物健康和生产力以及行业可持续性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5631/12288028/4a963a13c1c8/skaf127_fig1.jpg

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