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海军军事中的疫情风险分析方法

Methodology of Epidemic Risk Analysis in the Naval Military.

作者信息

Peultier-Celli Laetitia, Gérard Alain, Letourneur Franck, Inghels Clara, Duclos Audrey, Perrin Philippe

机构信息

Safety Environment and Crew Department, Naval Group, F-56100 Lorient, France.

Human Factors and UX design Department, Naval Group, F-83090 Ollioules, France.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Apr 5;22(4):572. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22040572.

Abstract

This review of the literature examines diseases and pathogen characteristics on military vessels, in order to improve the success of missions on a boat. Our aim is to understand the spread of disease, aiming to maximize biological resilience and hopefully eliminate outbreaks. Keyword research was conducted from various sources of information, including scientific publications, theses, public health organization websites, and clinical trials. A synthesis of bacterial, viral, fungal, and parasitosis characteristics was established, and a risk prioritization index was defined, based on contagiousness (basic reproduction number (R0)) and clinical severity. For instance, COVID-19 was assessed as moderately contagious, with critical severity, and Influenza A H1N1 as having a minor level of contagiousness with critical severity, resulting in a level two out of three risk prioritization index. This approach demonstrates that while diseases have numerous characteristics, a method for classifying them by isolating specific criteria and prioritizing them could be proposed. In conclusion, further work is needed to analyze onboard operator activities and develop simulation models related to pathogen characteristics.

摘要

这篇文献综述研究了军事舰艇上的疾病和病原体特征,以提高舰艇任务的成功率。我们的目标是了解疾病的传播,旨在最大限度地提高生物恢复力,并有望消除疫情爆发。通过各种信息来源进行关键词研究,包括科学出版物、论文、公共卫生组织网站和临床试验。建立了细菌、病毒、真菌和寄生虫病特征的综合体系,并根据传染性(基本繁殖数(R0))和临床严重程度定义了风险优先级指数。例如,新冠病毒被评估为具有中度传染性和严重程度,甲型H1N1流感的传染性较低但严重程度高,在三级风险优先级指数中属于二级。这种方法表明,虽然疾病具有众多特征,但可以提出一种通过分离特定标准并对其进行优先级排序来对疾病进行分类的方法。总之,需要进一步开展工作来分析船上操作人员的活动,并开发与病原体特征相关的模拟模型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5e1a/12027142/1290b3e0a35e/ijerph-22-00572-g001.jpg

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