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基于熵值法的地下水水质评价及多变量分析与索博尔敏感性分析对印度恒河平原中部非致癌健康风险的研究

Entropy-based groundwater quality evaluation with multivariate analysis and Sobol sensitivity for non-carcinogenic health risks in mid-Gangetic plains, India.

作者信息

Kumar Amit, Singh Anshuman

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology Patna, Patna, Bihar, 800005, India.

出版信息

Environ Geochem Health. 2025 Apr 28;47(6):186. doi: 10.1007/s10653-025-02495-9.

DOI:10.1007/s10653-025-02495-9
PMID:40293572
Abstract

This study assessed the quality and pollution status of the groundwater in an agricultural and densely populated area of Mid-Gangetic Plain Utilizing Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Spearman's correlation analysis, and Entropy water quality index (EWQI) and evaluated the public health hazard resulting due to nitrate and fluoride exposure using USEPA-based Health risk model and Sobol sensitivity analysis (SSA) on the basis of collected groundwater samples. The analysis revealed that several water quality parameters surpassed the permissible levels established by the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS). Based on the third quartile values the sequence of ionic dominance in the groundwater was observed as: HCO > Ca > Mg > Cl > SO > NO > PO > F. Approximately 10% of groundwater samples exceeded the desirable fluoride level of 1 mg/l, and 12% of samples surpassed the BIS permissible nitrate limit of 45 mg/l. Correlation analysis suggested key factors driving groundwater chemistry, including agricultural runoff, wastewater discharge, and geological activities. PCA reduced 12 variables to 4 significant components, explaining 68.074% of the variation, identifying both geogenic and anthropogenic interventions on the groundwater quality, and highlighting the complex interplay of these factors in the study area. Groundwater quality, measured by EWQI, ranged from 36.30 to 234 revealing about 85% of samples falling in excellent to fair quality, suitable for drinking. Notedly, there was some overlap in the distribution pattern of poor water quality samples and those with high nitrate, phosphate, and magnesium levels. Health risk assessment revealed that nitrate and fluoride pollution pose a significant non-carcinogenic threat. The total hazard index ranging 0.328-2.77 for children, 0.26-2.23 for females, and 0.22-1.89 for males, with 56.10% of samples exceeding the safe threshold for children, signifying a potential health risk for children than adults. SSA revealed that concentration and intake rate are the most influential variables of nitrate and fluoride exposure, which causes health risks to residents. To ensure public health and safety, the study advises residents to rely on treated water from underground sources. Additionally, it stresses the need for ongoing monitoring of groundwater resources to guide the development of effective pollution mitigation strategies and maintain a safe and reliable water supply.

摘要

本研究利用主成分分析(PCA)、斯皮尔曼相关性分析和熵水质指数(EWQI)评估了恒河中游平原农业和人口密集地区的地下水质量和污染状况,并基于收集的地下水样本,使用美国环境保护局(USEPA)的健康风险模型和索博尔敏感性分析(SSA)评估了因硝酸盐和氟化物暴露导致的公共健康危害。分析表明,几个水质参数超过了印度标准局(BIS)规定的允许水平。基于第三四分位数的值,观察到地下水中离子优势顺序为:HCO>Ca>Mg>Cl>SO>NO>PO>F。约10%的地下水样本超过了1mg/l的适宜氟化物水平,12%的样本超过了BIS规定的45mg/l硝酸盐允许限值。相关性分析表明了驱动地下水化学的关键因素,包括农业径流、废水排放和地质活动。PCA将12个变量减少为4个显著成分,解释了68.074%的变异,识别了对地下水质量的地质成因和人为干预,并突出了这些因素在研究区域的复杂相互作用。用EWQI衡量的地下水质量范围为36.30至234,约85%的样本质量为优良至良好,适合饮用。值得注意的是,水质差的样本与硝酸盐、磷酸盐和镁含量高的样本在分布模式上存在一些重叠。健康风险评估表明,硝酸盐和氟化物污染构成了重大的非致癌威胁。儿童的总危害指数范围为0.328 - 2.77,女性为0.26 - 2.23,男性为0.22 - 1.89,56.10%的样本超过了儿童的安全阈值,这表明儿童比成年人面临更大的潜在健康风险。SSA表明,浓度和摄入率是硝酸盐和氟化物暴露最有影响力的变量,会给居民带来健康风险。为确保公众健康和安全,该研究建议居民依靠地下水源的处理水。此外,它强调需要持续监测地下水资源,以指导制定有效的污染缓解策略,并维持安全可靠的供水。

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