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评估印度恰尔肯德邦各农业气候区奶牛养殖系统的气候脆弱性:对暴露、敏感性和适应能力参数的科学分析。

Evaluating climate vulnerability in dairy farming systems across agro climatic zones in Jharkhand State of India: a scientific analysis of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity parameters.

作者信息

Xess Neelkusum, Mohammad Asif, Feroze Sheikh Mohammad, Dutta Tapas Kumar, Chatterjee Anupam

机构信息

ICAR-National Dairy Research Institute, ERS, Kalyani, India.

ICAR-National Academy of Agricultural Research Management, Hyderabad, India.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2025 Apr 29;57(4):198. doi: 10.1007/s11250-025-04457-w.

Abstract

Indian dairy farming systems face significant challenges from climate change, which negatively impacts milk production. Despite this, research addressing the issue remains scarce. Thus, this study aims to assess the climate vulnerability of dairy farming across three agro climatic zones in Jharkhand: Zone IV (Central and North Eastern Plateau), Zone V (Western Plateau), and Zone VI (South Eastern Plateau). Using a multidisciplinary framework based on the IPCC's 2007 guidelines, the research evaluates the exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of dairy farming systems to climate hazards. By analyzing 30 years of historical climate data, we identify trends and changes in temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather events impacting dairy production. Secondary data collection involves rigorous scrutiny of online sources and comprehensive field visits for firsthand insights. The findings reveal disparities in climate vulnerability across the zones, influenced by geographical, socio-economic, and dairy farming factors. Zone V is the most vulnerable, with a vulnerability index of 0.548, driven by high exposure (0.471) despite moderate sensitivity (0.492). Zone VI has the lowest vulnerability index (0.498) due to substantial adaptive capacity (0.481), despite high sensitivity (0.533). This vulnerability assessment highlights the need for context-specific adaptation strategies to enhance dairy farming resilience. From the study it can be concluded that, interventions including improving fodder and water management, bolstering veterinary services and extension programmes, promoting climate-resilient animal breeds, and optimizing subsidy mechanisms may be considered for building resilience against climate change impacts on dairy farming.

摘要

印度的奶牛养殖系统面临着气候变化带来的重大挑战,这对牛奶生产产生了负面影响。尽管如此,针对这一问题的研究仍然稀缺。因此,本研究旨在评估贾坎德邦三个农业气候区的奶牛养殖对气候的脆弱性:第四区(中部和东北部高原)、第五区(西部高原)和第六区(东南部高原)。该研究采用基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)2007年指南的多学科框架,评估奶牛养殖系统对气候危害的暴露程度、敏感性和适应能力。通过分析30年的历史气候数据,我们确定了影响奶牛生产的温度、降水和极端天气事件的趋势和变化。二手数据收集包括对在线资源的严格审查和全面的实地考察,以获取第一手见解。研究结果揭示了各区域在气候脆弱性方面的差异,这些差异受到地理、社会经济和奶牛养殖因素的影响。第五区最为脆弱,脆弱性指数为0.548,尽管敏感性中等(0.492),但暴露程度较高(0.471)。第六区的脆弱性指数最低(0.498),尽管敏感性较高(0.533),但适应能力较强(0.481)。这种脆弱性评估凸显了制定因地制宜的适应策略以增强奶牛养殖恢复力的必要性。从该研究可以得出结论,为增强奶牛养殖抵御气候变化影响的恢复力,可以考虑采取包括改善饲料和水资源管理、加强兽医服务和推广项目、推广适应气候的动物品种以及优化补贴机制等干预措施。

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