Zhong Peng, Chen Xiuyang, Miao Peng, Xing Yiming, Li Yongfeng
Department of Neurosurgical Intensive Care Unit, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 29;15(1):14972. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-98854-8.
Existing prognostic tools for non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (NCH) mainly focus on neurological injury severity but overlook systemic factors that cause secondary deterioration. This study aimed to evaluate the Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index (ALI), a biomarker combining nutritional parameters (BMI, albumin) and inflammatory parameters (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, NLR), as a new prognostic indicator for NCH. It aimed to fill the gap in quantifying the synergy between inflammation and malnutrition in neurocritical care.In this retrospective cohort study, 1502 critically ill NCH patients from the MIMIC-IV database were analyzed. ALI was calculated as (BMI × Albumin)/NLR, and patients were divided into groups based on the quartiles of the log-transformed ALI. The outcomes measured were in-hospital, 90-day, and 1-year mortality. Multivariable logistic regression, ROC curve analysis, restricted cubic spline models, and subgroup analyses were used to assess the prognostic value of ALI.The results showed that lower ALI values could independently predict mortality at all time points. After comprehensive adjustment, a 1-unit increase in the log-transformed ALI was associated with a 26% reduction in in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.64-0.86, P < 0.001). The fourth quartile (with the highest ALI) had 56% lower mortality compared to the first quartile (OR = 0.44, P = 0.001). ALI had a strong ability to distinguish in-hospital all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.853, 95% CI: 0.826-0.880, P < 0.001). A threshold effect was found (log-transformed ALI = 4.0), below which ALI was inversely related to mortality (P < 0.001), and above which the relationship leveled off. Subgroup analyses confirmed the consistency of these findings across different age groups, comorbidities, and organ dysfunctions (P for interaction > 0.05). In conclusion, ALI is a reliable prognosticator for NCH, reflecting the interaction between systemic inflammation and malnutrition. Its simplicity and potential for threshold-based stratification may help in personalized interventions. Further prospective validation of ALI-guided protocols is needed.
现有的非创伤性脑出血(NCH)预后评估工具主要关注神经损伤的严重程度,却忽视了导致继发性恶化的全身因素。本研究旨在评估晚期肺癌炎症指数(ALI),这是一种结合营养参数(体重指数、白蛋白)和炎症参数(中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值,NLR)的生物标志物,作为NCH的一种新的预后指标。其目的是填补神经重症监护中量化炎症与营养不良之间协同作用方面的空白。
在这项回顾性队列研究中,分析了来自多中心重症医学信息数据库第四版(MIMIC-IV)的1502例NCH重症患者。ALI的计算方法为(体重指数×白蛋白)/NLR,并根据对数转换后的ALI四分位数将患者分组。所测量的结局指标为住院、90天和1年死亡率。采用多变量逻辑回归、ROC曲线分析、受限立方样条模型和亚组分析来评估ALI的预后价值。
结果显示,较低的ALI值可在所有时间点独立预测死亡率。经过全面调整后,对数转换后的ALI每增加1个单位,住院死亡率降低26%(比值比=0.74,95%置信区间:0.64-0.86,P<0.001)。与第一四分位数相比,第四四分位数(ALI最高)的死亡率低56%(比值比=0.44,P=0.001)。ALI具有很强的区分住院全因死亡率的能力(曲线下面积=0.853,95%置信区间:0.826-0.880,P<0.001)。发现了一种阈值效应(对数转换后的ALI=4.0),低于该阈值时ALI与死亡率呈负相关(P<0.001),高于该阈值时这种关系趋于平稳。亚组分析证实了这些发现在不同年龄组、合并症和器官功能障碍中的一致性(交互作用P>0.05)。总之,ALI是NCH的可靠预后指标,反映了全身炎症与营养不良之间的相互作用。其简单性和基于阈值分层的潜力可能有助于个性化干预。需要对ALI指导方案进行进一步的前瞻性验证。