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2006年至2020年美国西部同时暴露于极端高温、野火燃烧区域和野火烟雾之中。

Coexposure to extreme heat, wildfire burn zones, and wildfire smoke in the Western US from 2006 to 2020.

作者信息

Hu Jie K, Trišović Ana, Bakshi Ankita, Braun Danielle, Dominici Francesca, Casey Joan A

机构信息

Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University College of Arts and Sciences, Cockins Hall, 1958 Neil Ave, Columbus, OH, USA.

Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL), Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 32 Vassar St., Cambridge, MA, USA.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2025 May 2;11(18):eadq6453. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adq6453. Epub 2025 Apr 30.

Abstract

Climate change drives three heat-related hazards: extreme heat (EH), wildfire burn zones (WFBZs), and wildfire smoke (WFS). Using daily census tract-level data from 2006 to 2020, we investigated when, where, and whom these hazards coexposed in 11 Western US states. Among 18,106 tracts, at least one hazard occurred an average of 32 days (581,867 tract-days) annually. EH-WFS coexposure increased over the study period and was the most frequent coexposure (annual average of 38,218 tract-days). EH-WFS-affected regions varied year to year. WFBZ-involved coexposures were spatially confined and did not increase over time. On average, the most tract-days of EH-WFBZ-WFS coexposure took place in California, Arizona, and Oregon. Among census tracts most exposed to EH-WFBZ-WFS, populations disproportionately consisted of people of older age, with disabilities, and living in poverty. American Indian and Alaska Native individuals disproportionately faced all coexposures. As climate change accelerates, tracking coexposure to multiple hazards can help target resources to protect health.

摘要

气候变化引发了三种与高温相关的危害

极端高温(EH)、野火燃烧区(WFBZ)和野火烟雾(WFS)。利用2006年至2020年的每日人口普查区层面数据,我们调查了美国西部11个州这些危害在何时、何地以及对哪些人群共同构成暴露风险。在18106个普查区中,每年至少有一种危害发生的天数平均为32天(581867个普查区 - 天数)。在研究期间,EH - WFS共同暴露情况有所增加,且是最常见的共同暴露情况(年平均38218个普查区 - 天数)。受EH - WFS影响的区域每年都有所不同。涉及WFBZ的共同暴露在空间上较为局限,且未随时间增加。平均而言,EH - WFBZ - WFS共同暴露天数最多的情况发生在加利福尼亚州、亚利桑那州和俄勒冈州。在最易受到EH - WFBZ - WFS影响的人口普查区中,老年、残疾和贫困人口占比过高。美国印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民面临所有共同暴露的比例也过高。随着气候变化加速,追踪多种危害的共同暴露情况有助于将资源定向用于保护健康。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b773/12042893/5c567be22fea/sciadv.adq6453-f1.jpg

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