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早期引产以预防肩难产是否具有成本效益?来自巨大儿试验的证据。

Is It Cost-Effective to Induce Labour Early to Prevent Shoulder Dystocia? Evidence From the Big Baby Trial.

作者信息

Naghdi Seyran, Petrou Stavros, Underwood Martin, Deshpande Sanjeev, Quenby Siobhan, Ewington Lauren, Gardosi Jason, Mistry Hema

机构信息

Warwick Clinical Trials Unit, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

BJOG. 2025 Aug;132(9):1250-1258. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.18160. Epub 2025 May 1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The cost-effectiveness of early induction of labour for suspected large-for-gestational-age foetuses to prevent shoulder dystocia is unknown.

METHODS

A within-trial economic evaluation of induction at 38 + 0 to 38 + 4 weeks' gestation for suspected large-for-gestational-age foetuses. Resource use and costs were measured to 6 months postpartum. We estimated incremental cost per case of shoulder dystocia prevented and incremental cost per maternal quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. We collected data for planned caesarean sections in a cohort study.

FINDINGS

Mean combined woman and infant costs in the induction arm were £89 (95% confidence interval (CI): -£79, £257) higher than the standard care arm, driven by increased neonatal costs. The incremental cost of preventing one case of shoulder dystocia was £11 879 and the incremental cost per maternal QALY gained was £39 518. The probability of early induction being cost-effective was 0.65 at a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20 000 per case of shoulder dystocia prevented, but 0.36 at a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20 000 per maternal QALY gained. The cohort study found the mean cost was £310 (95% CI: £74, £545) higher in the induction arm than in the planned caesarean group.

INTERPRETATION

Early induction of labour increased neonatal care costs. It is not a cost-effective approach when effects are restricted to maternal QALYs. Planned caesarean section might be cost-saving when compared to early induction, although we did not assess longer-term effects such as an increased risk of repeat caesarean sections. Assessments of long-term effects on the mother and infant should be incorporated into future studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN18229892.

摘要

背景

对于疑似大于胎龄儿进行早期引产以预防肩难产的成本效益尚不清楚。

方法

对妊娠38 + 0至38 + 4周的疑似大于胎龄儿进行引产的试验内经济评估。对产后6个月的资源使用和成本进行测量。我们估计了预防每例肩难产的增量成本以及每获得一个孕产妇质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本。我们在一项队列研究中收集了计划剖宫产的数据。

结果

引产组的产妇和婴儿平均联合成本比标准护理组高89英镑(95%置信区间(CI):-79英镑,257英镑),这是由新生儿成本增加所致。预防一例肩难产的增量成本为11879英镑,每获得一个孕产妇QALY的增量成本为39518英镑。在每预防一例肩难产的成本效益阈值为20000英镑时,早期引产具有成本效益的概率为0.65,但在每获得一个孕产妇QALY的成本效益阈值为20000英镑时,该概率为0.36。队列研究发现,引产组的平均成本比计划剖宫产组高310英镑(95%CI:74英镑,545英镑)。

解读

早期引产增加了新生儿护理成本。当效果仅限于孕产妇QALY时,这不是一种具有成本效益的方法。与早期引产相比,计划剖宫产可能节省成本,尽管我们没有评估诸如再次剖宫产风险增加等长期影响。对母婴的长期影响评估应纳入未来的研究中。

试验注册号

ISRCTN18229892。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6ef1/12232589/9d1aca6e7168/BJO-132-1250-g001.jpg

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