Gardosi Jason, Ewington Lauren Jade, Booth Katie, Bick Debra, Bouliotis George, Butler Emily, Deshpande Sanjeev, Ellson Hanna, Fisher Joanne, Gornall Adam, Lall Ranjit, Mistry Hema, Naghdi Seyran, Petrou Stavros, Slowther Anne-Marie, Wood Sara, Underwood Martin, Quenby Siobhan
Perinatal Institute, Birmingham, UK; Division of Reproductive Health, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Division of Reproductive Health, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK; University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire, Coventry, UK.
Lancet. 2025 May 17;405(10491):1743-1756. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)00162-X. Epub 2025 May 1.
The benefits and harms of early induction of labour to reduce shoulder dystocia in fetuses suspected to be large for gestational age (LGA) are uncertain. We aimed to investigate whether early induction of labour is associated with a reduced risk of shoulder dystocia compared with standard care.
In this open-label, randomised controlled phase 3 trial, women aged ≥18 years with a suspected LGA fetus (estimated fetal weight >90th customised percentile) as identified by ultrasound scan between 35 weeks and 0 days (35 weeks) of gestation and 38 weeks' gestation, recruited from 106 hospitals across England, Scotland, and Wales in the UK, were randomly assigned (1:1) by web app to standard care or induction of labour between 38 weeks' gestation and 38 weeks' gestation using minimisation, balancing site, estimated fetal weight percentile (≤95th EFW percentile or >95th EFW percentile), and maternal age (≤35 years or >35 years). Key exclusion criteria included drug-treated diabetes, gestational diabetes, and elective caesarean section or induction already planned or indicated for any reason. Our primary outcome was incidence of shoulder dystocia, assessed by a masked independent expert adjudication panel who reviewed participants' delivery notes. Induction of labour was anticipated to result in birth 10·5 days earlier with a 300 g lower birthweight on average than standard care. We did an intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis in all participants for whom we had primary outcome data, and a per-protocol analysis in participants in the induction group who went into labour or were induced at 38 to 38 weeks' gestation versus participants in the standard care group who had not started labour, been induced, or had an elective caesarean section before 38 weeks' gestation. This study was registered with ISRCTN (18229892) and is no longer recruiting.
Between June 8, 2018, and Oct 25, 2022, 2893 women were randomly assigned to induction of labour (n=1447) or standard care (n=1446); the trial was terminated before the target of 4000 participants was reached on advice of the data monitoring committee following the lower-than-expected incidence of shoulder dystocia in the standard care group. Two participants in the induction group and seven in the standard care group had missing data for the primary outcome and were excluded from the ITT analysis. In the ITT analysis, 33 (2·3%) of 1445 babies in the induction group versus 44 (3·1%) of 1439 in the standard care group had shoulder dystocia (risk ratio [RR] 0·75 [95% CI 0·51-1·09]; p=0·14) with a mean difference of -6·0 days' (95% CI -6·3 to -5·6) gestation and -163·6 g (-190·0 to -137·1) birthweight between trial groups. 355 (24·6%) of 1446 mothers in the standard care group were induced, delivered, or went into labour at or before 38 weeks' gestation. In the per-protocol analysis, 27 (2·3%) of 1180 babies in the induction group versus 40 (3·7%) of 1074 in the standard care group had shoulder dystocia (RR 0·62 [0·41-0·92]; p=0·019), and there was a mean difference of -8·1 days' (-8·4 to -7·9) gestation and -213·3 g (-242·0 to -184·6) birthweight between trial groups. One neonatal death occurred from perinatal asphyxia after shoulder dystocia in the standard care group, and one neonatal death occurred following sepsis and congenital pneumonia in the induction group. 88 (6·1%) of 1447 mothers in the induction group had an adverse event versus 108 (7·5%) of 1446 in the standard care group (RR 0·81 [0·62 to 1·06]; p=0·13). Similar numbers of serious adverse events were reported in both groups.
No significant difference in incidence of shoulder dystocia was found between trial groups in the ITT analysis, probably due to the high proportion of earlier-than-expected deliveries in the standard care group reducing the intended between-group differences in gestational age and birthweight. However, in the per-protocol analysis, compared with all deliveries after 38 weeks' gestation, induction of labour between 38 weeks' gestation and 38 weeks' gestation did show a significant reduction in shoulder dystocia. This study provides pregnant women with suspected LGA fetuses and their clinicians important information about choices and decision making for timing and mode of birth.
National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Technology Assessment Programme.
对于怀疑为大于胎龄儿(LGA)的胎儿,早期引产以降低肩难产的利弊尚不确定。我们旨在研究与标准护理相比,早期引产是否与肩难产风险降低相关。
在这项开放标签、随机对照的3期试验中,招募了来自英国英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士106家医院的年龄≥18岁、超声扫描确定为怀疑LGA胎儿(估计胎儿体重>第90定制百分位数)且孕周在妊娠35周0天(35周)至38周之间的女性,通过网络应用程序以1:1的比例随机分配至标准护理组或在妊娠38周时进行引产,采用最小化法平衡研究地点、估计胎儿体重百分位数(≤第95 EFW百分位数或>第95 EFW百分位数)和产妇年龄(≤35岁或>35岁)。主要排除标准包括药物治疗的糖尿病、妊娠期糖尿病以及因任何原因已计划或指征为择期剖宫产或引产。我们的主要结局是肩难产的发生率,由一个盲法独立专家判定小组评估,该小组审查参与者的分娩记录。预计引产会使分娩提前10.5天,平均出生体重比标准护理低300克。我们对所有有主要结局数据的参与者进行意向性分析(ITT),并对妊娠38至38周进入产程或引产的引产组参与者与标准护理组中在妊娠38周前未开始产程、未引产或未进行择期剖宫产的参与者进行符合方案分析。本研究在ISRCTN注册(18229892),现已停止招募。
在2018年6月8日至2022年10月25日期间,2893名女性被随机分配至引产组(n = 1447)或标准护理组(n = 1446);在数据监测委员会建议下,由于标准护理组肩难产发生率低于预期,试验在未达到4000名参与者的目标之前终止。引产组有2名参与者和标准护理组有7名参与者的主要结局数据缺失,被排除在ITT分析之外。在ITT分析中,引产组1445名婴儿中有33名(2.3%)发生肩难产,标准护理组1439名中有44名(3.1%)(风险比[RR] 0.75 [95% CI 0.51 - 1.09];p = 0.14),试验组之间的平均妊娠差异为 -6.0天(95% CI -6.3至 -5.6),出生体重差异为 -163.6克(-190.0至 -137.1)。标准护理组1446名母亲中有355名(24.6%)在妊娠38周及以前被引产、分娩或进入产程。在符合方案分析中,引产组1180名婴儿中有27名(2.3%)发生肩难产,标准护理组1074名中有40名(3.7%)(RR 0.62 [0.41 - 0.92];p = 0.019),试验组之间的平均妊娠差异为 -8.1天(-8.4至 -7.9),出生体重差异为 -213.3克(-242.0至 -184.6)。标准护理组有1例新生儿死亡,发生在肩难产导致的围产期窒息后,引产组有1例新生儿死亡,发生在败血症和先天性肺炎后。引产组1447名母亲中有88名(6.1%)发生不良事件,标准护理组1446名中有108名(7.5%)(RR 0.81 [0.62至1.06];p = 0.13)。两组报告的严重不良事件数量相似。
在ITT分析中,试验组之间肩难产发生率无显著差异,可能是由于标准护理组中早于预期分娩的比例较高,减少了预期的组间妊娠年龄和出生体重差异。然而,在符合方案分析中,与妊娠38周后的所有分娩相比,妊娠38至38周引产确实显示肩难产显著减少。本研究为怀疑LGA胎儿的孕妇及其临床医生提供了关于出生时间和方式选择及决策的重要信息。
国家卫生与保健研究所卫生技术评估项目。