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一种计算牛奶中潜在有毒元素(PTEs)食品安全模型和健康风险评估的新方法。

A novel approach for calculating food safety models and health risk assessments of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in cow milk.

作者信息

Mohammadpour Amin, Ghanbari Elaheh, Sohrabi Sahand, Abbasi Fariba, Shahsavani Ebrahim, Mousavi Khaneghah Amin

机构信息

Research Center for Social Determinants of Health, Jahrom University of Medical Sciences, Jahrom, Iran.

Department of Food Hygiene and Quality Control, School of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.

出版信息

Food Chem. 2025 Sep 1;485:144375. doi: 10.1016/j.foodchem.2025.144375. Epub 2025 Apr 21.

Abstract

This study introduces the Milk Quality Index (MQI), a novel metric for assessing milk quality that utilizes machine learning to enhance predictive accuracy. Lead (Pb) levels (318 ± 185 mg/kg) exceeded safety limits, with chromium (Cr), aluminum (Al), and selenium (Se) also raising concerns in raw cow milk from southwestern Iran. The MQI classified 80 % of samples as 'Fair' (range: 3.95-7.03, mean: 5.46), with random forest (RF) modeling confirming Se, calcium (Ca), and magnesium (Mg) as key contributors. Health risk assessments revealed elevated noncarcinogenic (HI = 2.48) and carcinogenic (TCR = 2.39E-4) risks in children. At the same time, arsenic (As) and nickel (Ni) had the greatest impact on the HI and TCR, respectively. Approximately 96.78 % of children and 98.96 % of adults may be exposed to elevated carcinogenic risks, respectively. This approach highlights the importance of PTE monitoring in milk to enhance food safety and protect public health.

摘要

本研究引入了牛奶质量指数(MQI),这是一种用于评估牛奶质量的新指标,它利用机器学习提高预测准确性。伊朗西南部生牛奶中的铅(Pb)含量(318±185毫克/千克)超过安全限值,铬(Cr)、铝(Al)和硒(Se)也令人担忧。MQI将80%的样本分类为“中等”(范围:3.95 - 7.03,均值:5.46),随机森林(RF)建模确认硒、钙(Ca)和镁(Mg)是关键因素。健康风险评估显示儿童的非致癌风险(HI = 2.48)和致癌风险(TCR = 2.39E - 4)升高。同时,砷(As)和镍(Ni)分别对HI和TCR影响最大。分别约有96.78%的儿童和98.96%的成年人可能面临升高的致癌风险。这种方法凸显了监测牛奶中潜在有毒元素以提高食品安全和保护公众健康的重要性。

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