Lu Mengyi, Zhang Jingyi, Yuan Ying, Lin Ruitao
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, 101 Longmian Avenue, Nanjing 211166, Jiangsu, China.
Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center Houston, Texas 77030, U.S.A.
Stat Biopharm Res. 2025;17(2):266-276. doi: 10.1080/19466315.2024.2370403. Epub 2024 Aug 28.
Drug combinations are increasingly utilized in cancer treatment to enhance drug effectiveness through synergistic therapeutic effects. However, determining the optimal biological dose combination (OBDC) in small-scale drug combination trials presents challenges due to the increased complexity of the dose space. To effectively optimize the dose combination of combined drugs, we propose a model-assisted design by extending the single-agent Bayesian optimal interval phase I/II (BOIN12) design. Our approach incorporates a utility function to balance the trade-off between risk and benefit and directly models the utility of each dose by constructing a quasi-beta-binomial model. A key advantage of our design is the simplification of decision-making during interim periods by considering all possible outcomes and pre-including the decision rule in the protocol. Additionally, we present a time-to-event (TITE) version of our design, employing an approximate likelihood approach to mitigate potential late-onset effects. We demonstrate that our proposed design exhibits robust and desirable operating characteristics across various scenarios through extensive simulation studies.
在癌症治疗中,药物联合使用越来越普遍,旨在通过协同治疗效果提高药物疗效。然而,由于剂量空间的复杂性增加,在小规模药物联合试验中确定最佳生物剂量组合(OBDC)面临挑战。为了有效优化联合用药的剂量组合,我们通过扩展单药贝叶斯最优区间I/II期(BOIN12)设计提出了一种模型辅助设计。我们的方法引入了一个效用函数来平衡风险与收益之间的权衡,并通过构建一个准贝塔二项式模型直接对每个剂量的效用进行建模。我们设计的一个关键优势是,通过考虑所有可能的结果并在方案中预先包含决策规则,简化了中期决策过程。此外,我们还提出了我们设计的事件发生时间(TITE)版本,采用近似似然方法来减轻潜在的迟发效应。通过广泛的模拟研究,我们证明了我们提出的设计在各种情况下都具有稳健且理想的操作特性。