Ma Ruoqing, Zhang Liangliang, Yang Lv, He Hong
Key Laboratory of National Forestry and Grassland Administration for Control of Forest Biological Disasters in Western China, College of Forestry, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.
Pest Manag Sci. 2025 Sep;81(9):5324-5334. doi: 10.1002/ps.8887. Epub 2025 May 6.
Climate change is reshaping the distribution of species worldwide, impacting ecosystems and human activities. In this study, we focus on Oecophylla longinoda and Oecophylla smaragdina, which are vital for agricultural pest control, traditional medicine, and as food sources in Africa and Asia. Understanding their potential distribution changes in response to global climate shifts is crucial for ecological and economic reasons.
Using the MaxEnt model with 19 bioclimatic variables and elevation, this study predicts potential distribution shifts for O. longinoda and O. smaragdina under various climate scenarios for the present and future (2050 and 2070). Our analysis identifies precipitation and temperature as key environmental variables influencing the distribution of O. longinoda and O. smaragdina, respectively. The results indicate a significant potential for the expansion of their distribution ranges, suggesting enhanced roles in natural pest control and possible reductions in chemical pesticide reliance.
Our results highlight the potential for Oecophylla ants to shift in distribution under climate change, particularly in agricultural pest control. As these ant populations expand across different regions, they may play an important role in future pest management strategies. Our study provides key insights for further exploring how to use Oecophylla ants for biological pest control and provides a valuable reference for developing agricultural pest management measures in response to climate change. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.
气候变化正在重塑全球物种的分布,影响生态系统和人类活动。在本研究中,我们聚焦于长节行军蚁和黄足行军蚁,它们在非洲和亚洲对农业害虫控制、传统医学以及作为食物来源至关重要。出于生态和经济原因,了解它们因全球气候变化而可能发生的分布变化至关重要。
本研究使用带有19个生物气候变量和海拔数据的最大熵模型,预测了长节行军蚁和黄足行军蚁在当前及未来(2050年和2070年)各种气候情景下的潜在分布变化。我们的分析确定降水和温度分别是影响长节行军蚁和黄足行军蚁分布的关键环境变量。结果表明它们的分布范围有显著扩大的潜力,这意味着它们在自然害虫控制中的作用增强,并且可能减少对化学农药的依赖。
我们的结果凸显了行军蚁在气候变化下分布发生变化的潜力,特别是在农业害虫控制方面。随着这些蚁群在不同地区的扩张,它们可能在未来的害虫管理策略中发挥重要作用。我们的研究为进一步探索如何利用行军蚁进行生物害虫控制提供了关键见解,并为制定应对气候变化的农业害虫管理措施提供了有价值的参考。© 2025化学工业协会。