Williams Thomas, McCaw James M, Osborne James M
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Melbourne, 3052, Australia.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Melbourne, 3052, Australia; Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Melbourne, 3052, Australia.
Epidemics. 2025 Jun;51:100829. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2025.100829. Epub 2025 Apr 23.
Increasingly, experimentalists and modellers alike have come to recognise the important role of spatial structure in infection dynamics. Almost invariably, spatial computational models of viral infections - as with in vitro experimental systems - represent the tissue as wide and flat, which is often assumed to be representative of the entire affected tissue within the host. However, this assumption fails to take into account the distinctive geometry of the respiratory tract in the context of viral infections. The respiratory tract is characterised by a tubular, branching structure, and moreover is spatially heterogeneous: deeper regions of the lung are composed of far narrower airways and are associated with more severe infection. Here, we extend a typical multicellular model of viral dynamics to account for two essential features of the geometry of the respiratory tract: the tubular structure of airways, and the branching process between airway generations. We show that, with this more realistic tissue geometry, the dynamics of infection are substantially changed compared to standard computational and experimental approaches, and that the resulting model is equipped to tackle important biological phenomena that do not arise in a flat host tissue, including viral lineage dynamics, and heterogeneity in immune responses to infection in different regions of the respiratory tree. Our findings suggest aspects of viral dynamics which current in vitro systems may be insufficient to describe, and points to several features of respiratory infections which can be experimentally assessed.
越来越多的实验人员和建模人员都开始认识到空间结构在感染动态中的重要作用。几乎无一例外,病毒感染的空间计算模型——与体外实验系统一样——将组织表示为宽广且平坦的,通常认为这代表了宿主体内整个受影响的组织。然而,这种假设没有考虑到病毒感染背景下呼吸道独特的几何结构。呼吸道的特征是管状分支结构,而且在空间上是异质的:肺部较深的区域由窄得多的气道组成,并且与更严重的感染相关。在这里,我们扩展了一个典型的病毒动态多细胞模型,以考虑呼吸道几何结构的两个基本特征:气道的管状结构和气道代之间的分支过程。我们表明,采用这种更符合实际的组织几何结构,与标准的计算和实验方法相比,感染动态会发生显著变化,并且由此产生的模型能够处理在平坦的宿主组织中不会出现的重要生物学现象,包括病毒谱系动态以及呼吸道树不同区域对感染的免疫反应异质性。我们的研究结果表明了当前体外系统可能不足以描述的病毒动态方面,并指出了一些可以通过实验评估的呼吸道感染特征。