Lachica Zython Paul
St. Cross College, 61 St Giles', Oxford OX1 3LZ, UK.
Mindanao Center for Disease Watch and Analytics, Maguindanaoan Rd, College of Science and Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Mindanao, Davao City 8000, Philippines.
J Public Health (Oxf). 2025 Aug 29;47(3):e357-e364. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdaf047.
In Southern Philippines, 5 697 COVID-19 deaths were reported in the major cities from March 2020 to June 2022. The pandemic's impact, despite the relatively modest death toll, was examined by analysing the Years of Life Lost (YLL) derived from disease surveillance datasets.
The individual YLLs were calculated using the global disease burden approach applying 7% discounting rate and adjusting for sex, age-at-death, and the individual's city-location. The YLLs were then aggregated on a monthly basis. Descriptive analytics were used to characterise the dynamic nature over time of the YLLs.
A total of 51 749.07 YLLs due to COVID-19 were estimated, i.e. 9.09 YLLs per death or 969.49 YLLs per 100 000 population. The monthly YLL ranged from 68.55 to 7 641.12. On average, the age-at-death is 59.68 years with males having younger age-at-death than females. Notably, the weekly COVID-19 incidences and deaths in Southern Philippines showed synchronous peaks.
The average age-at-death in Southern Philippines is at least 10 years younger than both international age-at-death estimates and the Philippine life expectancy. The synchronous weekly peaks may highlight distinct pandemic dynamics for a low- and middle-income country. The YLL due to COVID-19 in Southern Philippines, at a sub-national level, is comparable to some country-level estimates, highlighting the impact of the pandemic on this island region alone.
在菲律宾南部,2020年3月至2022年6月期间,主要城市报告了5697例新冠病毒疾病死亡病例。通过分析疾病监测数据集得出的生命损失年数(YLL),对这场疫情的影响进行了研究,尽管死亡人数相对较少。
采用全球疾病负担方法,应用7%的贴现率,并根据性别、死亡年龄和个人所在城市进行调整,计算个体生命损失年数。然后按月汇总生命损失年数。使用描述性分析来描述生命损失年数随时间的动态变化。
估计因新冠病毒疾病导致的生命损失年数总计为51749.07年,即每例死亡9.09年生命损失年数,或每10万人969.49年生命损失年数。每月生命损失年数在68.55至7641.12年之间。平均死亡年龄为59.68岁,男性的死亡年龄比女性年轻。值得注意的是,菲律宾南部新冠病毒疾病的每周发病率和死亡人数呈现同步峰值。
菲律宾南部的平均死亡年龄比国际死亡年龄估计数和菲律宾预期寿命至少年轻10岁。每周的同步峰值可能凸显了低收入和中等收入国家独特的疫情动态。在国家以下层面,菲律宾南部因新冠病毒疾病导致的生命损失年数与一些国家层面的估计数相当,凸显了这场疫情仅对该岛屿地区的影响。