Espinosa Oscar, Ramos Jeferson, Rojas-Botero Maylen Liseth, Fernández-Niño Julián Alfredo
Economic Models and Quantitative Methods Research Group, Centro de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia.
Facultad Nacional de Salud Pública, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Sep 18;3(9):e0002172. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002172. eCollection 2023.
Specific mortality rates have been widely used to monitor the main impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic; however, a more meaningful measure is the Years of Life Lost (YLL) due to the disease, considering it takes into account the premature nature of each death. We estimated the YLL due to COVID-19 between January 2020 and December 2021 in 49 countries for which information was available, developing an analytical method that mathematically refines that proposed by the World Health Organization. We then calculated YLL rates overall, as well as by sex and life cycle. Additionally, we estimated the national cost-effective budgets required to manage COVID-19 from a health system perspective. During the two years of analysis, we estimated that 85.6 million years of life were lost due to COVID-19 in the 49 countries studied. However, due to a lack of data, we were unable to analyze the burden of COVID-19 in about 75% of the countries in the world. We found no difference in the magnitude of YLL rates by gender but did find differences according to life cycle, with older adults contributing the greatest burden of YLL. The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a significant burden of disease, which has varied between countries. However, due to the lack of quality and disaggregated data, it has been difficult to monitor and compare the pandemic internationally. Therefore, it is imperative to strengthen health information systems in order to prepare for future pandemics as well as to evaluate their impacts.
特定死亡率已被广泛用于监测新冠疫情的主要影响;然而,一个更有意义的指标是因该疾病导致的寿命损失年数(YLL),因为它考虑到了每例死亡的过早性质。我们估算了2020年1月至2021年12月期间49个有可用信息国家因新冠疫情导致的YLL,开发了一种分析方法,该方法在数学上对世界卫生组织提出的方法进行了完善。然后,我们计算了总体YLL率,以及按性别和生命周期划分的YLL率。此外,我们从卫生系统角度估算了应对新冠疫情所需的国家成本效益预算。在两年的分析期内,我们估计在所研究的49个国家中,因新冠疫情导致了8560万年的寿命损失。然而,由于数据缺乏,我们无法分析世界上约75%国家的新冠疫情负担。我们发现YLL率在性别上没有差异,但在生命周期方面存在差异,老年人的YLL负担最大。新冠疫情带来了重大的疾病负担,各国情况有所不同。然而,由于缺乏高质量和分类数据,很难在国际上监测和比较该疫情。因此,加强卫生信息系统对于为未来疫情做准备以及评估其影响至关重要。