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关于德尔菲法和模糊德尔菲法在水泥行业应用的叙述性综述。

A narrative review on the application of Delphi and fuzzy Delphi techniques in the cement industry.

作者信息

Khorshidikia Samane, Rismanchian Masoud, Habibi Ehsanollah

机构信息

Student Research Committee and Department of Occupational Health Engineering, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Department of Occupational Health and Safety Engineering, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

出版信息

Work. 2025 Apr;80(4):1507-1517. doi: 10.1177/10519815241297468. Epub 2024 Nov 13.

Abstract

BackgroundThe Delphi technique and its fuzzy variant are widely employed across various sectors, including industrial applications, for eliciting expert consensus and identifying priorities. Despite its prevalence, there is limited literature on its application within the cement industry.ObjectiveThis review aims to explore and introduce the applications of the Delphi technique and fuzzy Delphi technique specifically within the cement industry context.MethodsA narrative review was conducted focusing on studies between 2015 and 2024 that utilized the Delphi technique in the cement industry. The review included identifying primary areas of application such as assessing environmental impacts and prioritizing performance indicators crucial for industry stability and growth.ResultsThe review revealed that the Delphi technique is predominantly used in the cement industry to assess environmental effects associated with the production process. Additionally, it serves to identify and prioritize key performance indicators that influence industry sustainability and development.ConclusionsThe findings underscore the significance of the Delphi technique and its fuzzy variant in facilitating consensus among experts in the cement industry. Future research should continue exploring these methodologies to enhance decision-making processes and address emerging challenges within the sector.

摘要

背景

德尔菲技术及其模糊变体在包括工业应用在内的各个领域广泛应用,用于达成专家共识和确定优先事项。尽管其应用广泛,但关于其在水泥行业应用的文献有限。

目的

本综述旨在探讨并介绍德尔菲技术和模糊德尔菲技术在水泥行业背景下的具体应用。

方法

进行了一项叙述性综述,重点关注2015年至2024年间在水泥行业中使用德尔菲技术的研究。该综述包括确定主要应用领域,如评估环境影响以及确定对行业稳定和增长至关重要的绩效指标的优先顺序。

结果

该综述表明,德尔菲技术在水泥行业主要用于评估与生产过程相关的环境影响。此外,它还用于识别关键绩效指标并确定其优先顺序,这些指标会影响行业的可持续性和发展。

结论

研究结果强调了德尔菲技术及其模糊变体在促进水泥行业专家达成共识方面的重要性。未来的研究应继续探索这些方法,以加强决策过程并应对该领域新出现的挑战。

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