美国成年人尿镉水平与胆结石疾病增加之间的关联。

Association between urinary cadmium levels and increased gallstone disease in US adults.

作者信息

Wu Zhaowei, Jiang Shiming, Li Jinzhi, Wang Panguo, Chen Yong

机构信息

Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Medical College Street, Yuzhong District, Chongqing, 404100, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 8;15(1):15974. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-00648-5.

Abstract

Heavy metal exposure is acknowledged as a risk factor for poor health. However, the effect of heavy metal exposure on the prevalence of gallstones is still unknown. Therefore, we investigated the relationship between heavy metal concentrations and the prevalence of gallstones among US adults. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that only urinary cadmium was an independent risk factor for gallstones. Compared to the low urine cadmium group, the high cadmium group had a elevated increased risk of gallstone formation. Furthermore, the weighted quantile sum model showed that heavy metal mixtures were not associated with gallstone prevalence. Additionally, urinary cadmium levels were associated with an increased risk of gallstone formation in young individuals, males, Mexican Americans, Non-Hispanic Whites, as well as smokers and drinkers. Moreover, nine machine learning methods were utilized to construct an interpretable predictive model for gallstone prevalence. Among these models, the XGBoost model exhibited the highest performance and was selected for further investigation. Subsequently, shapely additive explanations was used for model interpretation. The results also indicated that urinary cadmium concentrations were the most important variable for gallstones. Thus, our results indicated that long-term chronic cadmium exposure is a risk factor for gallstone prevalence.

摘要

重金属暴露被认为是健康状况不佳的一个风险因素。然而,重金属暴露对胆结石患病率的影响仍然未知。因此,我们调查了美国成年人中重金属浓度与胆结石患病率之间的关系。多变量逻辑回归表明,只有尿镉是胆结石的独立风险因素。与低尿镉组相比,高镉组胆结石形成的风险增加。此外,加权分位数和模型表明,重金属混合物与胆结石患病率无关。此外,尿镉水平与年轻人、男性、墨西哥裔美国人、非西班牙裔白人以及吸烟者和饮酒者胆结石形成风险增加有关。此外,使用了九种机器学习方法来构建一个可解释的胆结石患病率预测模型。在这些模型中,XGBoost模型表现出最高的性能,并被选中进行进一步研究。随后,使用Shapely加性解释进行模型解释。结果还表明,尿镉浓度是胆结石最重要的变量。因此,我们的结果表明,长期慢性镉暴露是胆结石患病率的一个风险因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/917e/12062283/c4e8bba7c8c8/41598_2025_648_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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