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利用中国近海现场数据评估ERA5风参数

Evaluation of ERA5 wind parameter with in-situ data offshore China.

作者信息

Ji Weidong, Li Rongfu, Xue Wenfei, Cao Zhigang, Yang Hongying, Ning Qiaozhen, Hu Xiaokai, Liao Guanghong

机构信息

Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd, Urumqi, China.

NARI Technology Co. Ltd, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 May 9;20(5):e0317751. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0317751. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

There are abundant wind energy resources along the coast of China. Understanding spatial-temporal characteristics of wind speed is significant in meteorology, coastal engineering design and maritime industries. Reliable wind products such as reanalysis data, coupled with accurate wind speed measurements, are essential for elucidating the primary characteristics of the wind field. In this study, we evaluated hourly 10 m and 100 m wind speed data from the fifth-generation ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) by comparing it with direct wind measurements obtained from 19 wind tower located across the coastal waters of China. The results are as follows: 1) the basic statistical characteristic between ERA5 reanalysis and observed wind speeds demonstrate good consistency. However, the ERA5 tends to underestimate wind speed, particularly at high speeds during extreme conditions. 2) Compare ERA5 data with observations from each station using a frequency distribution-based score method, hourly scores of most stations are between 0.8 to 0.9. It shows the higher simulation skill in the northern region than the southern due to the influence of high-frequency typhoon in the South China Sea. 3)Distribution function parameters, mean values, variability, and wind threshold frequencies were analyzed for this ensemble of observation, providing an overall description of wind characteristics. Generally speaking, there is no clear linear relationship between scores and the other variables. On longer time scales (6-24 hours), the score and correlation between ERA5 and observations further increased, while the centered root-mean-square error (CRMSE) and standard deviation decrease. 4) Hourly wind data with a regular spatial distribution in ERA5 reanalysis provides valuable information for further detailed research on meteorology or renewable energy perspectives, but some inherent shortcomings should be considered.

摘要

中国沿海地区拥有丰富的风能资源。了解风速的时空特征在气象学、海岸工程设计和海洋产业中具有重要意义。可靠的风产品,如再分析数据,再加上准确的风速测量,对于阐明风场的主要特征至关重要。在本研究中,我们通过将第五代欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)大气再分析(ERA5)的每小时10米和100米风速数据与中国沿海水域19座风塔的直接风速测量数据进行比较,对其进行了评估。结果如下:1)ERA5再分析风速与实测风速之间的基本统计特征显示出良好的一致性。然而,ERA5往往会低估风速,尤其是在极端条件下的高速时。2)使用基于频率分布的评分方法将ERA5数据与各站点的观测数据进行比较,大多数站点的每小时评分在0.8至0.9之间。由于南海高频台风的影响,北部地区的模拟技能高于南部地区。3)对这组观测数据的分布函数参数、平均值、变异性和风阈值频率进行了分析,提供了风特征的总体描述。一般来说,评分与其他变量之间没有明显的线性关系。在较长时间尺度(6 - 24小时)上,ERA5与观测数据之间的评分和相关性进一步增加,而中心均方根误差(CRMSE)和标准差减小。4)ERA5再分析中具有规则空间分布的每小时风数据为气象学或可再生能源方面的进一步详细研究提供了有价值的信息,但应考虑一些固有缺点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1993/12063879/9b2b3901e956/pone.0317751.g001.jpg

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