气候变化对意大利西尼罗河病毒传播的影响：一项系统综述
Effect of Climate Change on West Nile Virus Transmission in Italy: A Systematic Review.
作者信息
Lorenzon Antonio, Granata Michele, Verzelloni Pietro, Tommasi Luigi, Palandri Lucia, Malavolti Marcella, Bargellini Annalisa, Righi Elena, Vinceti Marco, Paduano Stefania, Filippini Tommaso
机构信息
Department of Biomedical, Metabolic and Neural Sciences, Section of Public Health, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States.
出版信息
Public Health Rev. 2025 Apr 25;46:1607444. doi: 10.3389/phrs.2025.1607444. eCollection 2025.
OBJECTIVES
West Nile Virus (WNV) infection prevalence is increasing in recent years in Europe, particularly in Italy. Such increase has been related to climate and environmental factors. Our review aims to assess the relation between climate change-related factors and the spread of WNV in Italy.
METHODS
We conducted a literature search across four online databases until 22 January 2025, using as search terms WNV, its vectors, and climate change.
RESULTS
Out of 282 unique articles, we included 29 eligible papers published between 2011-2025, most of them assessing distribution of the main WNV vector () and epidemiology of the infection in relation to climate/environmental factors. We found a positive strong association of WNV transmission with temperature and agricultural land use. Associations with other environmental variables also emerged, but they were either weak or inconsistent.
CONCLUSION
Despite some inconsistencies in the results, likely due to heterogeneity in study methodologies and interactions of environmental variables, review findings indicate that some climate change-related factors favor WNV spread through its vectors in Italy, in line with exploratory observations obtained on the entire Europe.
SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION
https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD42023430636, identifier CRD42023430636.
目的
近年来，西尼罗河病毒（WNV）感染率在欧洲呈上升趋势，尤其是在意大利。这种上升与气候和环境因素有关。我们的综述旨在评估与气候变化相关的因素与WNV在意大利传播之间的关系。
方法
截至2025年1月22日，我们在四个在线数据库中进行了文献检索，使用WNV、其传播媒介和气候变化作为检索词。
结果
在282篇独特的文章中，我们纳入了2011年至2025年发表的29篇符合条件的论文，其中大多数评估了主要WNV传播媒介（）的分布以及与气候/环境因素相关的感染流行病学。我们发现WNV传播与温度和农业用地利用呈强正相关。与其他环境变量的关联也出现了，但要么较弱，要么不一致。
结论
尽管结果存在一些不一致，可能是由于研究方法的异质性和环境变量的相互作用，但综述结果表明，一些与气候变化相关的因素有利于WNV通过其传播媒介在意大利传播，这与在整个欧洲获得的探索性观察结果一致。
系统评价注册
https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD42023430636，标识符CRD42023430636。
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