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一种用于血吸虫病在校患病率测绘及监测与评估调查的新型快速诊断检测的影响及成本:一项建模研究

The impact and cost of a new rapid diagnostic test for school-based prevalence mapping and monitoring and evaluation surveys of schistosomiasis: A modelling study.

作者信息

Chevalier Joshua M, Grantz Kyra H, Girdwood Sarah, Kepha Stella, Ramos Thierry, Nichols Brooke E, Khan Shaukat, Hingel Sarah

机构信息

Department of Global Health, Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

FIND, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2025 May 12;19(5):e0013071. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0013071. eCollection 2025 May.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In endemic communities where the prevalence of Schistosomiasis is ≥ 10%, annual preventive chemotherapy is recommended. Traditional sampling methods determine infection prevalence through district-level surveys in school-aged-children (SAC). Recently, an alternative sampling strategy-the Schistosomiasis Practical and Precision Assessment (SPPA) protocol-was developed to aid in targeting treatment to the sub-district level. A prototype circulating anodic antigen rapid diagnostic test (CAA RDT) could avoid the pitfalls associated with current microscopy techniques and therefore be better suited to support precision-mapping.

METHODOLOGY

We modelled the ability of a CAA RDT to correctly classify sub-district prevalence above or below the 10% threshold in simulated districts under alternative sampling strategies. Each district (10 sub-districts/district) had varying mean prevalence and prevalence distributions. Test sensitivity (60-100%) and specificity (95-100%) of the CAA RDT was varied. We then determined the associated survey costs for prevalence mapping or monitoring and evaluation for each sampling strategy using the CAA RDT compared to microscopy.

RESULTS

The CAA RDT cost/SAC was US$12.14, which was similar to Kato-Katz (US$13.23/SAC) using traditional sampling. Sampling with the CAA RDT cost the least when conducting SPPA sampling or M&E, or when both Kato-Katz and urine filtration were required. High specificity of the CAA RDT was a key determinant of performance and a test with 100% specificity and 85% sensitivity correctly classified the most sub-districts (87%) under SPPA sampling. SPPA sampling generally led to less under- and overtreatment of sub-districts compared to traditional sampling.

CONCLUSIONS

A CAA RDT with high specificity will lead to similar treatment success at lower costs, under either sampling strategy, as compared to Kato-Katz and urine filtration. The CAA RDT could be a valuable diagnostic tool for determining schistosomiasis prevalence and could better support precision mapping strategies through reduced costs, thereby improving mass drug administration and aiding programmes to eliminate schistosomiasis as a public health problem.

摘要

背景

在血吸虫病流行率≥10%的地方性社区,建议进行年度预防性化疗。传统抽样方法通过对学龄儿童(SAC)进行地区级调查来确定感染率。最近,开发了一种替代抽样策略——血吸虫病实用精准评估(SPPA)方案,以帮助将治疗目标定位到街道层面。一种原型循环阳极抗原快速诊断测试(CAA RDT)可以避免当前显微镜技术的缺陷,因此更适合支持精准绘图。

方法

我们模拟了在替代抽样策略下,CAA RDT在模拟地区中将街道流行率正确分类为高于或低于10%阈值的能力。每个地区(每个地区10个街道)的平均流行率和流行率分布各不相同。CAA RDT的检测灵敏度(60 - 100%)和特异性(95 - 100%)有所变化。然后,我们确定了与显微镜检查相比,使用CAA RDT进行每种抽样策略的流行率绘图或监测与评估的相关调查成本。

结果

CAA RDT每个SAC的成本为12.14美元,与使用传统抽样的加藤厚涂片法(每个SAC 13.23美元)相似。在进行SPPA抽样或监测与评估时,或者在同时需要加藤厚涂片法和尿液过滤的情况下,使用CAA RDT抽样成本最低。CAA RDT的高特异性是性能的关键决定因素,在SPPA抽样下,一种特异性为100%、灵敏度为85%的测试正确分类的街道最多(87%)。与传统抽样相比,SPPA抽样通常导致街道层面的治疗不足和过度治疗情况较少。

结论

与加藤厚涂片法和尿液过滤相比,具有高特异性的CAA RDT在任何一种抽样策略下都能以更低成本取得类似的治疗效果。CAA RDT可能是确定血吸虫病流行率的一种有价值的诊断工具,并且通过降低成本可以更好地支持精准绘图策略,从而改善大规模药物管理并协助消除作为公共卫生问题的血吸虫病的项目。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a65/12097705/1fdcf0575996/pntd.0013071.g001.jpg

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