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非小细胞肺癌患者弥漫性双侧肺内转移的生存分析及预后因素

Survival analysis and prognostic factors of diffuse bilateral intrapulmonary metastases in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

作者信息

Xie Wan, Zhang Geng, Wan Tingjie, Xu Liyu

机构信息

Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Fujian Medical University Affiliated Fuzhou First Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2025 May 9;104(19):e42248. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000042248.

Abstract

The study aimed to develop a nomogram utilizing the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database to predict the survival probability of diffuse bilateral intrapulmonary metastases (DBIM) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Clinical data from 2010 to 2020 were retrieved from the SEER database. Independent prognostic factors influencing overall survival (OS) were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses conducted on the training cohort. Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed and its performance was assessed using concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) results. Propensity score matching was employed to reduce variability in subgroup analysis comparing patients who received chemotherapy alone versus chemoradiotherapy. A total of 2075 patients were included in this study, wherein race, sex, marital status, age, household income, AJCC N stage, AJCC M stage, tumor size, total number of in situ/malignant tumors, bone metastasis, brain metastasis (BM), liver metastasis, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors. The nomogram demonstrated excellent performance, as evidenced by the high C-indexes, AUC results, and calibration curves. Subgroup analysis revealed potential benefits for women, patients with combined BM, and high-income individuals who received chemotherapy in conjunction with local radiotherapy. However, no significant impact on the 0.5-year survival rate was observed. Notably, a reliable nomogram was successfully developed to estimate the probability of survival in patients with DBIM. Overall, our study highlights the potential benefit of adding radiotherapy to chemotherapy specifically for women, those with combined BM, and high-income individuals.

摘要

本研究旨在利用监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库开发一种列线图,以预测非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者发生双侧肺内弥漫性转移(DBIM)后的生存概率。从SEER数据库中检索了2010年至2020年的临床数据。通过对训练队列进行单因素和多因素Cox比例风险回归分析,确定影响总生存期(OS)的独立预后因素。随后,构建列线图,并使用一致性指数(C指数)、校准曲线、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)结果评估其性能。采用倾向评分匹配法减少在比较单纯接受化疗与放化疗患者的亚组分析中的变异性。本研究共纳入2075例患者,其中种族、性别、婚姻状况、年龄、家庭收入、美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)N分期、AJCC M分期、肿瘤大小、原位/恶性肿瘤总数、骨转移、脑转移(BM)、肝转移、手术和化疗为独立预后因素。列线图表现优异,高C指数、AUC结果和校准曲线证明了这一点。亚组分析显示,对于女性、合并BM的患者以及接受化疗联合局部放疗的高收入个体可能有益。然而,未观察到对0.5年生存率有显著影响。值得注意的是,成功开发了一种可靠的列线图来估计DBIM患者的生存概率。总体而言,我们的研究强调了对女性、合并BM的患者以及高收入个体在化疗基础上加用放疗的潜在益处。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5088/12073856/1431beeeef8b/medi-104-e42248-g001.jpg

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