The Inaccuracy of the Mood Disorder Questionnaire for Bipolar Disorder in a Community Sample: From the "DYMERS" Construct Toward a New Instrument for Detecting Vulnerable Conditions.

The Mood Disorder Questionnaire (MDQ) is a widely used tool for the early detection of Bipolar Disorder (BD), yet its diagnostic accuracy remains debated. In particular, the MDQ often yields false positives in individuals with anxiety, stress-related, or personality disorders, raising questions about its clinical utility. This study aimed primarily to evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the MDQ in identifying BD within a large, community-based sample using structured clinical interviews. Additionally, we explored the construct of DYMERS (Dysregulation of Mood, Energy, and Social Rhythms Syndrome), a proposed condition characterized by mood instability, hyperactivation traits, and rhythm dysregulation among MDQ-positive individuals without a formal psychiatric diagnosis. A total of 4999 adults were surveyed across six Italian regions using a stratified random sampling method. Psychiatric diagnoses were established using DSM-IV-TR criteria via the Advanced Neuropsychiatric Tools and Assessment Schedule (ANTAS). The MDQ was administered face to face in its validated Italian version, with a positivity cut-off of ≥7. The MDQ exhibited low sensitivity and high specificity (0.962; 95% CI: 0.961-0.963). Among 2337 analyzable cases, the MDQ showed high specificity (96.2%) but low sensitivity (42.9%) for BD, indicating limited effectiveness as a screening tool. In clinical terms, this implies that while MDQ-positive individuals are unlikely to be false positives, a substantial proportion of true BD cases are not identified. Notably, a significant subgroup of MDQ-positive individuals without psychiatric diagnoses displayed features consistent with DYMERS. Our findings confirm the limited screening value of the MDQ for BD in community samples. However, MDQ positivity may help identify a broader spectrum of mood and rhythm dysregulation not captured by current diagnostic systems. Future research should focus on validating DYMERS as a clinical entity and on developing targeted diagnostic instruments capable of capturing this emerging dimension of psychopathology.