Cooper Lauryn M, Grimes Janet A, Davros Akaterina M
J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2025 May 21;263(9):1121-1126. doi: 10.2460/javma.25.03.0145. Print 2025 Sep 1.
To assess the validity of the brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score to correctly predict the risk of complications in dogs undergoing surgery for brachycephalic obstructive airway syndrome (BOAS).
Medical records from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2024, were retrospectively reviewed. Variables for the BRisk score were collected, and scores were assigned. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for the ability of the BRisk score to correctly predict major postoperative complications (oxygen required for > 48 hours, temporary tracheostomy, permanent tracheostomy, and/or death).
228 brachycephalic dogs undergoing BOAS surgery were included, of which 29 dogs (12.7%) had major postoperative complications. The median BRisk score for all dogs was 3.5 (range, 0.5 to 9.5). Dogs with a score > 3 were 3.0 times more likely to have major postoperative complications (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.3) compared to dogs with scores ≤ 3. The AUC of the BRisk score for predicting major postoperative complications was 0.719 (95% CI, 0.620 to 0.819). The AUC for French and English Bulldogs was 0.667 (95% CI, 0.527 to 0.806) and 0.754 (95% CI, 0.556 to 0.953), respectively. For breeds other than French or English Bulldog, the AUC was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.757 to 1.000).
The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this population. Performance varied by breed and was worst for French Bulldogs.
The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this external validation group. A breed-specific BRisk score with excellent to outstanding discrimination may better identify dogs at risk for major postoperative complications following BOAS surgery.
评估短头风险(BRisk)评分在正确预测接受短头阻塞性气道综合征(BOAS)手术的犬只并发症风险方面的有效性。
回顾性分析2020年1月1日至2024年12月31日的医疗记录。收集BRisk评分的变量并进行评分。计算BRisk评分正确预测主要术后并发症(需氧超过48小时、临时气管切开术、永久气管切开术和/或死亡)的曲线下面积(AUC)。
纳入228只接受BOAS手术的短头犬,其中29只(12.7%)出现主要术后并发症。所有犬只的BRisk评分中位数为3.5(范围0.5至9.5)。评分>3的犬只发生主要术后并发症的可能性是评分≤3的犬只的3.0倍(OR,3.0;95%CI,1.2至7.3)。BRisk评分预测主要术后并发症的AUC为0.719(95%CI,0.620至0.819)。法国斗牛犬和英国斗牛犬的AUC分别为0.667(95%CI,0.527至0.806)和0.754(95%CI,0.556至0.953)。对于法国或英国斗牛犬以外的品种,AUC为0.882(95%CI,0.757至1.000)。
BRisk评分在该群体中表现尚可。表现因品种而异,对法国斗牛犬最差。
BRisk评分在该外部验证组中表现尚可。具有优秀至卓越鉴别能力的特定品种BRisk评分可能能更好地识别BOAS手术后发生主要术后并发症风险的犬只。