Xiao Wenyan, Zhang Liangliang, Zhang Yang, Hu Juanjuan, Zhang Jin, Hua Tianfeng, Yang Min
The Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Anhui, Hefei, P.R.China.
The Laboratory of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Critical Care Medicine, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Anhui, Hefei, P.R.China.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2025 May 22;19(5):e0013104. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0013104. eCollection 2025 May.
The role of serum ferritin, an acute-phase inflammatory marker, in predicting mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is not fully understood. This study aimed to investigate the association between serum ferritin levels and inpatient mortality in patients with SFTS. We conducted a retrospective analysis using data from patients diagnosed with SFTS at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between May 2017 and September 2024. The association between serum ferritin levels and in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS was assessed using Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal serum ferritin cut-off value for predicting mortality risk. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared for survival rates, and propensity score matching with linear trend testing was applied to ensure robustness. This study included 390 patients with SFTS, of whom 312 survived and 78 did not, yielding an in-hospital mortality rate of 20.0%. Cox regression and RCS analyses demonstrated a significant linear association between higher serum ferritin levels and increased in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS, indicating that the predicted mortality of patients with SFTS increased with elevated serum ferritin levels beyond a certain threshold. ROC analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.830, with an optimal serum ferritin cut-off of 3.975 (lg, ng/ml), sensitivity of 0.731, and specificity of 0.830. Clinically, serum ferritin levels above 4 (lg ng/ml), were associated with a substantial increase in mortality risk. Sensitivity analysis supported the robustness of these results. Serum ferritin levels are linearly associated with mortality risk in patients with SFTS, with mortality significantly increasing when serum ferritin levels exceed 10,000 ng/ml. Serum ferritin level may serve as a valuable prognostic biomarker for mortality risk in patients with SFTS.
血清铁蛋白作为一种急性期炎症标志物,在预测严重发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)患者死亡率方面的作用尚未完全明确。本研究旨在探讨SFTS患者血清铁蛋白水平与住院死亡率之间的关联。我们利用2017年5月至2024年9月期间在安徽医科大学第二附属医院被诊断为SFTS的患者数据进行了一项回顾性分析。使用Cox回归模型和限制性立方样条(RCS)分析评估SFTS患者血清铁蛋白水平与住院死亡率之间的关联。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线确定预测死亡风险的最佳血清铁蛋白临界值。比较Kaplan-Meier生存曲线的生存率,并应用倾向评分匹配和线性趋势检验以确保结果的稳健性。本研究纳入了390例SFTS患者,其中312例存活,78例死亡,住院死亡率为20.0%。Cox回归和RCS分析表明,较高的血清铁蛋白水平与SFTS患者住院死亡率增加之间存在显著的线性关联,这表明当血清铁蛋白水平超过一定阈值时,SFTS患者的预测死亡率会随着血清铁蛋白水平的升高而增加。ROC分析显示曲线下面积为0.830,最佳血清铁蛋白临界值为3.975(lg,ng/ml),敏感性为0.731,特异性为0.830。临床上,血清铁蛋白水平高于4(lg ng/ml)与死亡风险大幅增加相关。敏感性分析支持了这些结果的稳健性。血清铁蛋白水平与SFTS患者的死亡风险呈线性相关,当血清铁蛋白水平超过10,000 ng/ml时,死亡率显著增加。血清铁蛋白水平可能是SFTS患者死亡风险的一个有价值的预后生物标志物。