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围产期决策中的决策科学

Decision science in perinatal decision making.

作者信息

Fischhoff Baruch

机构信息

Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy and Technology, Carnegie Mellon University, United States.

出版信息

Semin Perinatol. 2025 Apr;49(3):152064. doi: 10.1016/j.semperi.2025.152064.

DOI:10.1016/j.semperi.2025.152064
PMID:40404233
Abstract

Perinatologists and the families they support face decisions that are challenging in their complexity and uncertainty. Decision science studies general properties of such decisions in simplified settings far removed from a Neonatal Intensive Care Unit. Perinatal decision making might be informed by decision science results. It might also challenge them. Each article in this provocative collection raises questions that can only be answered by collaboration between the disciplines. These questions consider how complex, uncertain decisions can be analyzed; how different decisions makers intuitively respond to them; and what interventions could support them, with better analysis, communication, or options. I hope to have framed the questions in ways that facilitate the needed collaborations.

摘要

围产期医学专家以及他们所支持的家庭面临着复杂性和不确定性都极具挑战性的决策。决策科学在远离新生儿重症监护病房的简化环境中研究此类决策的一般属性。围产期决策可能会受到决策科学结果的影响,也可能会对这些结果提出挑战。这本颇具启发性的文集中的每一篇文章都提出了一些问题,而这些问题只有通过多学科合作才能得到解答。这些问题包括如何分析复杂、不确定的决策;不同的决策者如何直观地应对这些决策;以及通过更好的分析、沟通或选择,哪些干预措施可以为他们提供支持。我希望我提出这些问题的方式能够促进所需的合作。

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