Korwiwattanakan Sirapat, Samanloh Surangkana, Rattanaumpawan Pinyo
Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Clinical Trial Unit, Research Department, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
J Infect Public Health. 2025 Aug;18(8):102826. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.102826. Epub 2025 May 13.
BACKGROUND: Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, remdesivir, and molnupiravir are recommended antiviral therapies for non-severe COVID-19 patients at high risk of disease progression. This study evaluated the real-world effectiveness and economic impact of these three antiviral regimens in Thailand. METHODS: This retrospective observational study was conducted at Siriraj Hospital, Thailand. Eligible patients were ambulatory adults (≥15 years old) with non-severe COVID-19 infection, presenting ≥1 risk factor for disease progression, and receiving ≥1 dose of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, remdesivir, or molnupiravir within 5 days of symptom onset. Subsequently, an economic analysis was performed using data from this study and landmark clinical trials. FINDINGS: During the study period (March-August 2022), there were 374 eligible patients: 104 patients (30.0 %), 114 patients (33.0 %), and 127 patients (37.0 %) received nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, remdesivir, and molnupiravir, respectively. The unfavorable clinical outcomes were significantly higher in the remdesivir group (12.28 %), compared to the nirmatrelvir/ritonavir group (2.88 %), and the molnupiravir group (4.72 %) by pairwise comparison (p-value<0.001). After adjusting for significant comorbidities, no statistically significant difference in unfavorable clinical outcomes was observed among these comparison groups. Economic analysis utilizing the effectiveness of landmark trials under Thai economic data indicated that remdesivir was the preferred option over the other two antivirals. Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir would become the dominant option over remdesivir if its price were to decrease to $108.157 or less per treatment course. INTERPRETATION: Compared to other countries, our study found higher unfavorable outcomes in vaccinated individuals, but lower than previous Thai data. Treatment effects were similar across groups. Our economic analysis favored remdesivir.
背景:奈玛特韦/利托那韦、瑞德西韦和莫努匹拉韦是推荐用于疾病进展风险高的非重症新冠患者的抗病毒疗法。本研究评估了这三种抗病毒治疗方案在泰国的真实世界有效性和经济影响。 方法:这项回顾性观察性研究在泰国诗里拉吉医院进行。符合条件的患者为非重症新冠感染的门诊成人(≥15岁),存在≥1个疾病进展风险因素,且在症状出现后5天内接受≥1剂奈玛特韦/利托那韦、瑞德西韦或莫努匹拉韦治疗。随后,利用本研究数据和标志性临床试验进行了经济分析。 结果:在研究期间(2022年3月至8月),有374名符合条件的患者:分别有104名患者(30.0%)、114名患者(33.0%)和127名患者(37.0%)接受了奈玛特韦/利托那韦、瑞德西韦和莫努匹拉韦治疗。通过两两比较,瑞德西韦组的不良临床结局(12.28%)显著高于奈玛特韦/利托那韦组(2.88%)和莫努匹拉韦组(4.72%)(p值<0.001)。在调整了显著的合并症后,这些比较组之间在不良临床结局方面未观察到统计学上的显著差异。利用泰国经济数据下标志性试验的有效性进行的经济分析表明,瑞德西韦比其他两种抗病毒药物更具优势。如果奈玛特韦/利托那韦每个疗程的价格降至108.157美元或更低,它将成为比瑞德西韦更具优势的选择。 解读:与其他国家相比,我们的研究发现接种疫苗的个体中不良结局更高,但低于泰国之前的数据。各治疗组的治疗效果相似。我们的经济分析支持瑞德西韦。
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