Asif Muhammad, Popa Ioan-Lucian, Ismail Emad A A, Awwad Fuad A, Alqurashi Mosab, Ishtiaq Umar
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central South University, Changsha, 4100083, China.
Department of Computing, Mathematics and Electronics, "1 Decembrie 1918" University of Alba Iulia, 15, 510009, Alba Iulia, Romania.
Sci Rep. 2025 May 24;15(1):18096. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-02456-3.
Mathematical modeling is an effective tool for understanding and predicting certain endemic diseases. Toxoplasmosis gondii (T. gondii) is an endemic disease that is transmitted to human by contact with infected cats. T. gondii can cause a lot of diseases in human body and also affects the human body parts. In this study we have constructed a mathematical model to understand the transmission and control of this disease by utilizing the harmonic mean-type incidence rate which is more effect than other incidence rates. We calculated the disease-free equilibria, endemic equilibria and then basic reproduction number which is important to understand the disease reduction from the population. Sensitivity analysis of reproduction number presents the effect of parameters on disease transmission. To generalize the traditional integer-order model to a fractional framework, the Atangana-Baleanu fractional-order derivative is employed. The fractionalized model is both existent and unique. The fractional version of the proposed model is numerically analyzed using the Atangana-Toufik method. Results present that by increasing the value of the treatment rate, there is a decline in the disease in the population.
数学建模是理解和预测某些地方病的有效工具。弓形虫病是一种通过接触受感染的猫传播给人类的地方病。弓形虫可在人体引发多种疾病,还会影响人体多个部位。在本研究中,我们构建了一个数学模型,通过利用比其他发病率更有效的调和平均型发病率来理解该疾病的传播与控制。我们计算了无病平衡点、地方病平衡点,进而计算了基本再生数,这对于理解疾病在人群中的减少情况很重要。再生数的敏感性分析展示了参数对疾病传播的影响。为了将传统整数阶模型推广到分数阶框架,采用了阿坦加纳 - 巴莱努分数阶导数。分数阶模型既存在且唯一。使用阿坦加纳 - 图菲克方法对所提出模型的分数阶版本进行了数值分析。结果表明,通过提高治疗率的值,人群中的疾病会减少。