文献检索文档翻译深度研究
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
邀请有礼套餐&价格历史记录

新学期,新优惠

限时优惠:9月1日-9月22日

30天高级会员仅需29元

1天体验卡首发特惠仅需5.99元

了解详情
不再提醒
插件&应用
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
高级版
套餐订阅购买积分包
AI 工具
文献检索文档翻译深度研究
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2025

利用SUNEX模拟模型评估澳大利亚和新西兰因过度暴露和暴露不足于太阳紫外线辐射而产生的健康和经济影响。

Estimated health and economic effects associated with over- and under-exposure to solar ultraviolet radiation in Australia and New Zealand using the SUNEX simulation model.

作者信息

Collins Louisa G, Elliott Thomas M, Webb Ann, Reid Ian R, Sinclair Craig, Comans Tracy, Karnon Jonathan, Foeglein Anna, van Gorp Karen, Fanning Vanessa, Neale Rachel E

机构信息

Viertel Cancer Research Centre, Cancer Council Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Q4006, Australia.

Population Health Program, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Q4006, Australia.

出版信息

Photochem Photobiol Sci. 2025 May 28. doi: 10.1007/s43630-025-00726-7.


DOI:10.1007/s43630-025-00726-7
PMID:40434562
Abstract

Multiple health problems are associated with either over- or under-exposure to ultraviolet (UV) radiation. Using an agent-based microsimulation model, we examined the joint health and economic effects of conditions arising from over-exposure to sunlight (i.e., melanoma, keratinocyte skin carcinoma (KC) and cataract) and under-exposure to sunlight via vitamin D deficiency (i.e., fragility fractures and multiple sclerosis). We developed an agent-based model to estimate and compare incident cases, disease-specific deaths, healthcare costs and losses in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) attributable to over- or under-exposure to UV radiation. Simulations were performed over a 20-year period for populations in 14 locations across Australia and New Zealand. Conditions caused by over-exposure to UV radiation were predicted to result in 6.0 and 1.2 million new cases compared with 0.12 and 0.08 million cases from under-exposure in Australia and New Zealand, respectively. However, the number of deaths due to under-exposure (Australia: 58,503; New Zealand: 20,104) were higher than those arising from over-exposure (Australia: 49,320; New Zealand: 7136), but this was dependent on the definition of vitamin D deficiency used. The expected healthcare costs from over-exposure to UV radiation were AU$12.4 billion in Australia and NZ$5.2 billion in New Zealand, three-fold higher than costs for conditions attributable to under-exposure in both countries. Despite the enormous burden of skin cancers, highlighting the importance of sun protection, avoidable deaths and healthcare costs of fragility fractures due to a lack of UV radiation requires a reduction in vitamin D deficiency in Australians and New Zealanders.

摘要

多种健康问题与紫外线(UV)辐射暴露过度或不足相关。我们使用基于主体的微观模拟模型,研究了阳光暴露过度(即黑色素瘤、角质形成细胞皮肤癌(KC)和白内障)以及因维生素D缺乏导致阳光暴露不足(即脆性骨折和多发性硬化症)所引发状况的联合健康和经济影响。我们开发了一个基于主体的模型,以估计和比较归因于紫外线辐射暴露过度或不足的发病病例、疾病特异性死亡、医疗费用以及质量调整生命年(QALY)损失。对澳大利亚和新西兰14个地区的人群进行了为期20年的模拟。预计在澳大利亚和新西兰,紫外线辐射暴露过度导致的疾病分别会出现600万和120万新病例,而暴露不足导致的病例分别为12万和8万。然而,暴露不足导致的死亡人数(澳大利亚:58503人;新西兰:20104人)高于暴露过度导致的死亡人数(澳大利亚:49320人;新西兰:7136人),但这取决于所使用的维生素D缺乏的定义。在澳大利亚,紫外线辐射暴露过度预计产生的医疗费用为124亿澳元,在新西兰为52亿新西兰元,比两国因暴露不足导致的疾病费用高出三倍。尽管皮肤癌负担巨大,凸显了防晒的重要性,但由于缺乏紫外线辐射导致的脆性骨折的可避免死亡和医疗费用,要求澳大利亚人和新西兰人减少维生素D缺乏的情况。

相似文献

[1]
Estimated health and economic effects associated with over- and under-exposure to solar ultraviolet radiation in Australia and New Zealand using the SUNEX simulation model.

Photochem Photobiol Sci. 2025-5-28

[2]
Surveillance for Violent Deaths - National Violent Death Reporting System, 50 States, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, 2022.

MMWR Surveill Summ. 2025-6-12

[3]
Prevalence and odds of anxiety and depression in cutaneous malignant melanoma: a proportional meta-analysis and regression.

Br J Dermatol. 2024-6-20

[4]
Cost-effectiveness of enzalutamide with androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) versus ADT alone for the treatment of high-risk biochemically recurrent non-metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer in Canada.

J Med Econ. 2025-12

[5]
Interventions for fertility preservation in women with cancer undergoing chemotherapy.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025-6-19

[6]
Aural toilet (ear cleaning) for chronic suppurative otitis media.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025-6-9

[7]
Stakeholders' perceptions and experiences of factors influencing the commissioning, delivery, and uptake of general health checks: a qualitative evidence synthesis.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025-3-20

[8]
Probiotics in infants for prevention of allergic disease.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025-6-13

[9]
Stem cell injections for osteoarthritis of the knee.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025-4-2

[10]
Use of β-adrenoreceptor drugs and Parkinson's disease incidence in women from the French E3N cohort study.

J Parkinsons Dis. 2025-4-29

本文引用的文献

[1]
The association between vitamin D deficiency and multiple sclerosis: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2024-10

[2]
Balancing the risks and benefits of sun exposure: A revised position statement for Australian adults.

Aust N Z J Public Health. 2024-2

[3]
Estimating the disutility of relapse in relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis using the EQ-5D-5L, AQoL-8D, EQ-5D-5L-psychosocial, and SF-6D: implications for health economic evaluation models.

Qual Life Res. 2023-12

[4]
Twenty years of melanoma in Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia (1997 - 2016).

Cancer Epidemiol. 2023-4

[5]
Risk Factors Associated With First and Second Primary Melanomas in a High-Incidence Population.

JAMA Dermatol. 2023-1-1

[6]
Estimating Joint Health State Utility Algorithms Under Partial Information.

Value Health. 2023-5

[7]
Relationship between serum vitamin D and hip fracture in the elderly: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

J Bone Miner Metab. 2022-7

[8]
Estimated Healthcare Costs of Melanoma and Keratinocyte Skin Cancers in Australia and Aotearoa New Zealand in 2021.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022-3-8

[9]
A dermoscopy training program for Victorian GPs to improve skin cancer prevention and detection.

Public Health Res Pract. 2022-3-10

[10]
Cost-Effectiveness of a Serum Biomarker Test for Risk-Stratified Liver Ultrasound Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Value Health. 2021-10

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

推荐工具

医学文档翻译智能文献检索